Duke Blue Devils
5–5 · 4–2 ACC
In the books
WEEK 13 · 2025
11%
ACC title game
4%
Win the ACC
1%
Make the playoff
0%
First-round bye
avg seed 11.7
How the week went: playoff odds 1% → <1% · title-game odds 11% → 6%.
The Saturday rundown
ranked by what moves Duke's pathYour game
…
… · ACC Network
Duke at North Carolina
Your game. Beat North Carolina and your playoff odds are 2%; lose and they drop to 0%. A loss ends it.
Final · Duke 32–25 North CarolinaWish granted ✓
Just win
Big swingsthese move your odds the most
…
… · ESPN2
Louisville at SMU
ACC race: SMU losing helps your spot in the standings.
Final · Louisville 6–38 SMUWent the other way ✗
Root for Louisville+16.4 pp title-game odds
…
… · ESPN
Pittsburgh at #16 Georgia Tech
ACC race: Georgia Tech losing helps your spot in the standings; Georgia Tech losing softens the sting of your loss to them.
Final · Pittsburgh 42–28 Georgia TechWish granted ✓
Root for Pittsburgh+14.6 pp title-game odds
Worth a glancesmaller, but real
…
… · ACC Network
California at Stanford
ACC race: Stanford losing helps your spot in the standings; you beat California — their wins make your résumé stronger.
Final · California 10–31 StanfordWent the other way ✗
Root for California+2.0 pp title-game odds
56 more games that don't move your needle
Charlotte at Georgia · SEC Network
Akron at Bowling Green · ESPNU
Massachusetts at Ohio · CBSSN
Western Michigan at Northern Illinois · ESPN2
Miami (OH) at Buffalo · ESPN2
Central Michigan at Kent State · ESPNU
Louisiana at Arkansas State · ESPN
Florida State at NC State · ESPN
Hawai'i at UNLV · FS1
Missouri at Oklahoma · ABC
Minnesota at Northwestern · BTN
Rutgers at Ohio State · FOX
Miami at Virginia Tech · ESPN
Delaware at Wake Forest · ACC Network
Kansas at Iowa State · FS1
Tulsa at Army · CBSSN
Washington State at James Madison · ESPN+
Baylor at Arizona · TNT
Old Dominion at Georgia Southern · ESPN+
Missouri State at Kennesaw State · ESPN+
Nevada at Wyoming
Ball State at Toledo · ESPN+
Marshall at App State · ESPN+
UConn at Florida Atlantic · ESPN+
Liberty at Louisiana Tech · ESPN+
Sam Houston at Middle Tennessee · ESPN+
New Mexico State at UTEP · ESPN+
South Florida at UAB · ESPN+
Arkansas at Texas · ABC
Kentucky at Vanderbilt · ESPN
USC at Oregon · CBS
Michigan State at Iowa · FS1
Syracuse at Notre Dame · NBC
Jacksonville State at Florida International · CBSSN
Southern Miss at South Alabama · ESPN+
East Carolina at UTSA · ESPN+
Tulane at Temple · ESPNU
Michigan at Maryland · BTN
TCU at Houston · FOX
Oklahoma State at UCF · ESPN+
Kansas State at Utah · ESPN2
Georgia State at Troy · ESPN+
Coastal Carolina at South Carolina · SEC Network
UL Monroe at Texas State · ESPN+
Nebraska at Penn State · NBC
New Mexico at Air Force · CBSSN
Colorado State at Boise State · FS1
Tennessee at Florida · ABC
Illinois at Wisconsin · BTN
North Texas at Rice · ESPNU
Western Kentucky at LSU · SEC Network
BYU at Cincinnati · FOX
Arizona State at Colorado · ESPN2
Washington at UCLA · NBC
Utah State at Fresno State · CBSSN
San José State at San Diego State · FS1
Based on 50,000 season simulations entering week 13, anchored to the Playoff Committee Rankings (week 13). How the model works.