Duke Blue Devils
6–5 · 5–2 ACC
In the books
WEEK 14 · 2025
6%
ACC title game
2%
Win the ACC
<1%
Make the playoff
0%
First-round bye
avg seed 12.0
How the week went: playoff odds <1% → 0% · title-game odds 6% → 100%.
The Saturday rundown
ranked by what moves Duke's pathYour game
…
… · ACC Network
Wake Forest at Duke
Your game. Win and your ACC title-game odds are 9%; lose and they fall to 0%.
Final · Wake Forest 32–49 DukeWish granted ✓
Just win
Big swingsthese move your odds the most
…
… · ESPN2
#21 SMU at California
ACC race: SMU losing helps your spot in the standings; you beat California — their wins make your résumé stronger.
Final · SMU 35–38 CaliforniaWish granted ✓
Root for California+46.0 pp title-game odds
…
… · ESPN
Virginia Tech at #18 Virginia
ACC race: Virginia losing helps your spot in the standings; Virginia losing softens the sting of your loss to them; you still play Virginia in week 15.
Final · Virginia Tech 7–27 VirginiaWent the other way ✗
Root for Virginia Tech+12.4 pp title-game odds
Worth a glancesmaller, but real
…
… · ACC Network
North Carolina at NC State
ACC race: NC State losing helps your spot in the standings; you beat North Carolina — their wins make your résumé stronger.
Final · North Carolina 19–42 NC StateWent the other way ✗
Root for North Carolina+7.5 pp title-game odds
…
… · ABC
#12 Miami at #22 Pittsburgh
ACC race: Pittsburgh losing helps your spot in the standings.
Final · Miami 38–7 PittsburghWish granted ✓
Root for Miami+6.5 pp title-game odds
62 more games that don't move your needle
Bowling Green at Massachusetts · ESPNU
Western Michigan at Eastern Michigan · ESPN2
Navy at Memphis · ESPN
Ole Miss at Mississippi State · ABC
Iowa at Nebraska · CBS
Utah at Kansas · ESPN
Ohio at Buffalo · ESPNU
Kent State at Northern Illinois · CBSSN
Air Force at Colorado State · FS1
Georgia at Georgia Tech · ABC
San Diego State at New Mexico · CBSSN
Temple at North Texas · ESPN
Boise State at Utah State · CBS
Texas A&M at Texas · ABC
Indiana at Purdue · NBC
Arizona at Arizona State · FOX
Kentucky at Louisville · ACC Network
Clemson at South Carolina · SEC Network
Ohio State at Michigan · FOX
Houston at Baylor · TNT
Colorado at Kansas State · FS1
Iowa State at Oklahoma State · ESPNU
Texas Tech at West Virginia · ESPN
East Carolina at Florida Atlantic · ESPN+
Toledo at Central Michigan · ESPN+
Ball State at Miami (OH) · CBSSN
UCF at BYU · ESPN2
UTEP at Delaware · ESPN+
Florida International at Sam Houston · ESPN+
Georgia Southern at Marshall · ESPN+
Western Kentucky at Jacksonville State · ESPN+
Louisiana Tech at Missouri State · ESPN+
Georgia State at Old Dominion · ESPN+
Arkansas State at App State · ESPN+
Boston College at Syracuse · The CW Network
Middle Tennessee at New Mexico State · ESPN+
UL Monroe at Louisiana · ESPN+
South Alabama at Texas State · ESPN+
UAB at Tulsa · ESPN+
Missouri at Arkansas · SEC Network
LSU at Oklahoma · ABC
Vanderbilt at Tennessee · ESPN
Oregon at Washington · CBS
Wisconsin at Minnesota · FS1
Penn State at Rutgers · BTN
Cincinnati at TCU · FOX
Kennesaw State at Liberty · CBSSN
Troy at Southern Miss · ESPN+
Army at UTSA · ESPN+
James Madison at Coastal Carolina · ESPNU
Florida State at Florida · ESPN2
Oregon State at Washington State · The CW Network
Maryland at Michigan State · FS1
Rice at South Florida · ESPN+
Alabama at Auburn · ABC
UCLA at USC · NBC
Northwestern at Illinois · FOX
Charlotte at Tulane · ESPNU
UNLV at Nevada · CBSSN
Notre Dame at Stanford · ESPN
Fresno State at San José State · FS1
Wyoming at Hawai'i
Based on 50,000 season simulations entering week 14, anchored to the Playoff Committee Rankings (week 14).