The ACC race
17 teams · two title-game spots
In the books
WEEK 8 · 2025
15 teams are still alive for the two title-game spots.
Most likely championship game
how often each matchup comes up in the simsStandings & projections
records entering week 8; projections from the remaining schedule| Team | Conf | Overall | Proj. final | Title game | Champ | Playoff |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 #2Miami | 1–0 | 5–0 | 6.7–1.3 | 60% | 44% | 83% |
 Duke | 3–0 | 4–2 | 6.2–1.8 | 46% | 17% | 11% |
 SMU | 2–0 | 4–2 | 5.7–2.3 | 20% | 11% | 11% |
 #18Virginia | 3–0 | 5–1 | 6.2–1.8 | 30% | 10% | 10% |
 #12Georgia Tech | 3–0 | 6–0 | 6.0–2.0 | 24% | 8% | 12% |
 Pittsburgh | 2–1 | 4–2 | 5.0–3.0 | 7% | 3% | 2% |
 Louisville | 1–1 | 4–1 | 4.9–3.1 | 11% | 7% | 8% |
 Clemson | 2–2 | 3–3 | 4.5–3.5 | 2% | 1% | 5% |
 California | 1–1 | 4–2 | 3.4–4.6 | <1% | <1% | <1% |
 Syracuse | 1–2 | 3–3 | 3.1–4.9 | <1% | <1% | <1% |
 NC State | 1–2 | 4–3 | 3.1–4.9 | <1% | <1% | <1% |
 Wake Forest | 1–2 | 4–2 | 2.7–5.3 | <1% | <1% | <1% |
 Virginia Tech | 1–2 | 2–5 | 2.4–5.6 | <1% | <1% | <1% |
 Stanford | 1–2 | 2–4 | 2.0–6.0 | 0% | 0% | 0% |
 North Carolina | 0–1 | 2–3 | 2.3–5.7 | <1% | <1% | <1% |
 Florida State | 0–3 | 3–3 | 3.0–5.0 | <1% | <1% | <1% |
 Boston College | 0–4 | 1–5 | 0.7–7.3 | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Based on 50,000 season simulations entering week 8, anchored to the AP Top 25 (week 8). How the model works.