The Conference USA race
12 teams · two title-game spots
In the books
WEEK 8 · 2025
12 teams are still alive for the two title-game spots.
Most likely championship game
how often each matchup comes up in the simsStandings & projections
records entering week 8; projections from the remaining schedule| Team | Conf | Overall | Proj. final | Title game | Champ | Playoff |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Jacksonville State | 2–0 | 3–3 | 6.5–1.5 | 69% | 43% | 1% |
 Western Kentucky | 3–0 | 5–1 | 6.2–1.8 | 55% | 23% | <1% |
 Kennesaw State | 2–0 | 4–2 | 4.9–3.1 | 15% | 5% | <1% |
 Louisiana Tech | 2–1 | 4–2 | 4.7–3.3 | 13% | 5% | <1% |
 Delaware | 1–1 | 3–2 | 5.2–2.8 | 21% | 12% | <1% |
 Liberty | 1–1 | 2–4 | 4.9–3.1 | 19% | 9% | <1% |
 Missouri State | 1–1 | 3–3 | 4.2–3.8 | 6% | 2% | <1% |
 New Mexico State | 1–1 | 3–2 | 3.4–4.6 | 1% | <1% | 0% |
 Florida International | 0–1 | 2–3 | 2.4–5.6 | <1% | <1% | 0% |
 UTEP | 0–2 | 1–5 | 1.9–6.1 | <1% | <1% | 0% |
 Middle Tennessee | 0–2 | 1–5 | 1.9–6.1 | <1% | <1% | 0% |
 Sam Houston | 0–3 | 0–6 | 1.6–6.4 | <1% | 0% | 0% |
Based on 50,000 season simulations entering week 8, anchored to the AP Top 25 (week 8). How the model works.