The Conference USA race
12 teams · two title-game spots
In the books
WEEK 16 · 2025
The title game is set: Kennesaw State vs Jacksonville State.
Most likely championship game
how often each matchup comes up in the simsStandings & projections
records entering week 16; projections from the remaining schedule| Team | Conf | Overall | Proj. final | Title game | Champ | Playoff |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Kennesaw StateClinched | 7–1 | 10–3 | 7.0–1.0 | 100% | 100% | 0% |
 Jacksonville StateClinched | 7–1 | 8–5 | 7.0–1.0 | 100% | 0% | 0% |
 Western Kentucky | 6–2 | 8–4 | 6.0–2.0 | 0% | 0% | 0% |
 Florida International | 5–3 | 7–5 | 5.0–3.0 | 0% | 0% | 0% |
 Louisiana Tech | 5–3 | 7–5 | 5.0–3.0 | 0% | 0% | 0% |
 Missouri State | 5–3 | 7–5 | 5.0–3.0 | 0% | 0% | 0% |
 Delaware | 4–4 | 6–6 | 4.0–4.0 | 0% | 0% | 0% |
 Liberty | 3–5 | 4–8 | 3.0–5.0 | 0% | 0% | 0% |
 Middle Tennessee | 2–6 | 3–9 | 2.0–6.0 | 0% | 0% | 0% |
 New Mexico State | 2–6 | 4–8 | 2.0–6.0 | 0% | 0% | 0% |
 Sam Houston | 1–7 | 2–10 | 1.0–7.0 | 0% | 0% | 0% |
 UTEP | 1–7 | 2–10 | 1.0–7.0 | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Based on 50,000 season simulations entering week 16, anchored to the Playoff Committee Rankings (week 16). How the model works.