The Big Ten race
18 teams · two title-game spots
In the books
WEEK 16 · 2025
The title game is set: Indiana vs Ohio State.
Most likely championship game
how often each matchup comes up in the simsStandings & projections
records entering week 16; projections from the remaining schedule| Team | Conf | Overall | Proj. final | Title game | Champ | Playoff |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 #1IndianaClinched | 9–0 | 13–0 | 9.0–0.0 | 100% | 100% | 100% |
 #2Ohio StateClinched | 9–0 | 12–1 | 9.0–0.0 | 100% | 0% | >99% |
 #5Oregon | 8–1 | 11–1 | 8.0–1.0 | 0% | 0% | 99% |
 #18Michigan | 7–2 | 9–3 | 7.0–2.0 | 0% | 0% | 5% |
 #16USC | 7–2 | 9–3 | 7.0–2.0 | 0% | 0% | 14% |
 #23Iowa | 6–3 | 8–4 | 6.0–3.0 | 0% | 0% | <1% |
 Illinois | 5–4 | 8–4 | 5.0–4.0 | 0% | 0% | 0% |
 Minnesota | 5–4 | 7–5 | 5.0–4.0 | 0% | 0% | 0% |
 Washington | 5–4 | 8–4 | 5.0–4.0 | 0% | 0% | <1% |
 Nebraska | 4–5 | 7–5 | 4.0–5.0 | 0% | 0% | 0% |
 Northwestern | 4–5 | 6–6 | 4.0–5.0 | 0% | 0% | 0% |
 Penn State | 3–6 | 6–6 | 3.0–6.0 | 0% | 0% | <1% |
 UCLA | 3–6 | 3–9 | 3.0–6.0 | 0% | 0% | 0% |
 Rutgers | 2–7 | 5–7 | 2.0–7.0 | 0% | 0% | 0% |
 Wisconsin | 2–7 | 4–8 | 2.0–7.0 | 0% | 0% | 0% |
 Maryland | 1–8 | 4–8 | 1.0–8.0 | 0% | 0% | 0% |
 Michigan State | 1–8 | 4–8 | 1.0–8.0 | 0% | 0% | 0% |
 Purdue | 0–9 | 2–10 | 0.0–9.0 | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Based on 50,000 season simulations entering week 16, anchored to the Playoff Committee Rankings (week 16). How the model works.