The Big Ten race
18 teams · two title-game spots
In the books
WEEK 6 · 2025
14 teams are still alive for the two title-game spots.
Most likely championship game
how often each matchup comes up in the simsStandings & projections
records entering week 6; projections from the remaining schedule| Team | Conf | Overall | Proj. final | Title game | Champ | Playoff |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 #2Oregon | 2–0 | 5–0 | 7.8–1.2 | 64% | 33% | >99% |
 #1Ohio State | 1–0 | 4–0 | 7.8–1.2 | 50% | 26% | 100% |
 #8Indiana | 2–0 | 5–0 | 7.5–1.5 | 33% | 17% | 99% |
 #20Michigan | 1–0 | 3–1 | 7.0–2.0 | 22% | 7% | 7% |
 Maryland | 1–0 | 4–0 | 4.5–4.5 | <1% | <1% | <1% |
 Minnesota | 1–0 | 3–1 | 4.9–4.1 | <1% | <1% | <1% |
 USC | 2–1 | 4–1 | 6.1–2.9 | 4% | 1% | 1% |
 Iowa | 1–1 | 3–2 | 4.5–4.5 | <1% | <1% | <1% |
 #22Illinois | 1–1 | 4–1 | 4.5–4.5 | <1% | <1% | <1% |
 Northwestern | 1–1 | 2–2 | 2.4–6.6 | 0% | 0% | 0% |
 #7Penn State | 0–1 | 3–1 | 6.7–2.3 | 24% | 15% | >99% |
 Washington | 0–1 | 3–1 | 4.6–4.4 | <1% | <1% | <1% |
 Nebraska | 0–1 | 3–1 | 4.8–4.2 | <1% | <1% | <1% |
 Wisconsin | 0–1 | 2–2 | 1.9–7.1 | <1% | <1% | <1% |
 Michigan State | 0–1 | 3–1 | 1.6–7.4 | 0% | 0% | 0% |
 Purdue | 0–1 | 2–2 | 1.1–7.9 | 0% | 0% | 0% |
 Rutgers | 0–2 | 3–2 | 2.3–6.7 | <1% | 0% | 0% |
 UCLA | 0–1 | 0–4 | 1.0–8.0 | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Based on 50,000 season simulations entering week 6, anchored to the AP Top 25 (week 6).