#20Michigan Wolverines
3–1 · 1–0 BIG TEN
In the books
WEEK 6 · 2025
21%
Big Ten title game
6%
Win the Big Ten
15%
Make the playoff
2%
First-round bye
avg seed 7.7
How the week went: playoff odds 15% → 19% · title-game odds 21% → 23%.
The Saturday rundown
ranked by what moves Michigan's pathYour game
…
… · FOX
Wisconsin at #20 Michigan
Your game. Beat Wisconsin and your playoff odds are 17%; lose and they drop to 5%.
Final · Wisconsin 10–24 MichiganWish granted ✓
Just win
Worth a glancesmaller, but real
…
… · NBC
Minnesota at #1 Ohio State
Big Ten race: Ohio State losing helps your spot in the standings; you still play Ohio State in week 14.
Final · Minnesota 3–42 Ohio StateWent the other way ✗
Root for Minnesota+4.3 pp title-game odds
…
… · CBS
#7 Penn State at UCLA
Big Ten race: Penn State losing helps your spot in the standings.
Final · Penn State 37–42 UCLAWish granted ✓
Root for UCLA+3.8 pp title-game odds
…
… · ESPN+
Coastal Carolina at Old Dominion
Old Dominion winning thins out the at-large competition for your playoff spot.
Final · Coastal Carolina 7–47 Old DominionWish granted ✓
Root for Old Dominion+1.3 pp playoff odds
46 more games that don't move your needle
Virginia at Louisville · ESPN2
Illinois at Purdue · BTN
Sam Houston at New Mexico State · CBSSN
Western Kentucky at Delaware · CBSSN
Charlotte at South Florida · ESPN2
New Mexico at San José State · FS1
West Virginia at BYU · ESPN
Colorado State at San Diego State · CBSSN
Kentucky at Georgia · ABC
Boston College at Pittsburgh · ACC Network
Clemson at North Carolina · ESPN
Kansas State at Baylor · ESPN+
Iowa State at Cincinnati · ESPN2
Air Force at Navy · CBS
Army at UAB · ESPNU
Ohio at Ball State · CBSSN
Wake Forest at Virginia Tech · The CW Network
UTSA at Temple · ESPN+
Western Michigan at Massachusetts · ESPN+
Oklahoma State at Arizona · truTV
Vanderbilt at Alabama · ABC
Texas at Florida · ESPN
Washington at Maryland · BTN
UL Monroe at Northwestern · BTN
Oregon State at App State · ESPN+
Syracuse at SMU · ACC Network
Boise State at Notre Dame · NBC
Florida International at UConn · CBSSN
James Madison at Georgia State · ESPN+
Central Michigan at Akron · ESPN+
Eastern Michigan at Buffalo · ESPN+
Miami (OH) at Northern Illinois · ESPN+
Kent State at Oklahoma · SEC Network
Michigan State at Nebraska · FS1
Texas State at Arkansas State · ESPNU
Texas Tech at Houston · ESPN
UNLV at Wyoming · CBSSN
South Alabama at Troy · ESPN+
Florida Atlantic at Rice · ESPN+
Mississippi State at Texas A&M · SEC Network
Miami at Florida State · ABC
Colorado at TCU · FOX
Kansas at UCF · ESPN2
Tulsa at Memphis · ESPNU
Duke at California · ESPN
Nevada at Fresno State · CBSSN
Based on 50,000 season simulations entering week 6, anchored to the AP Top 25 (week 6). How the model works.