#18Michigan Wolverines
7–2 · 5–1 BIG TEN
In the books
WEEK 12 · 2025
3%
Big Ten title game
<1%
Win the Big Ten
<1%
Make the playoff
0%
First-round bye
avg seed 10.0
How the week went: playoff odds <1% → <1% · title-game odds 3% → 2%.
The Saturday rundown
ranked by what moves Michigan's pathYour game
…
… · FOX
#18 Michigan at Northwestern
Your game. Win and your Big Ten title-game odds are 4%; lose and they fall to 0%.
Final · Michigan 24–22 NorthwesternWish granted ✓
Just win
Big swingsthese move your odds the most
…
… · FOX
Minnesota at #8 Oregon
Big Ten race: Oregon losing helps your spot in the standings.
Final · Minnesota 13–42 OregonWent the other way ✗
Root for Minnesota+9.0 pp title-game odds
Worth a glancesmaller, but real
…
… · BTN
Wisconsin at #2 Indiana
Big Ten race: Indiana losing helps your spot in the standings; you beat Wisconsin — their wins make your résumé stronger.
Final · Wisconsin 7–31 IndianaWent the other way ✗
Root for Wisconsin+3.5 pp title-game odds
…
… · BTN
#21 Iowa at #17 USC
Big Ten race: USC losing helps your spot in the standings; USC losing softens the sting of your loss to them.
Final · Iowa 21–26 USCWent the other way ✗
Root for Iowa+2.8 pp title-game odds
54 more games that don't move your needle
Kent State at Akron · ESPNU
Ohio at Western Michigan · ESPN2
Buffalo at Central Michigan · CBSSN
Northern Illinois at Massachusetts · ESPNU
Toledo at Miami (OH) · ESPN2
Troy at Old Dominion · ESPN
Clemson at Louisville · ESPN
South Carolina at Texas A&M · ESPN
Notre Dame at Pittsburgh · ABC
Arizona at Cincinnati · FS1
Kansas State at Oklahoma State · ESPNU
Air Force at UConn · CBSSN
UTSA at Charlotte · ESPN+
South Florida at Navy · ESPN2
Eastern Michigan at Ball State · ESPN+
Arkansas at LSU · SEC Network
Oregon State at Tulsa · The CW Network
West Virginia at Arizona State · truTV
Marshall at Georgia State · ESPN+
North Texas at UAB · ESPN+
UTEP at Missouri State · ESPN+
Colorado State at New Mexico
Oklahoma at Alabama · ABC
Penn State at Michigan State · CBS
Maryland at Illinois · FS1
Georgia Tech at Boston College · ACC Network
Virginia at Duke · ESPN2
NC State at Miami · ESPN
UCF at Texas Tech · FOX
Middle Tennessee at Western Kentucky · ESPN+
San José State at Nevada · CBSSN
App State at James Madison · ESPN+
South Alabama at UL Monroe · ESPN+
Texas State at Southern Miss · ESPN+
Memphis at East Carolina · ESPNU
Florida Atlantic at Tulane · ESPN+
New Mexico State at Tennessee · SEC Network
North Carolina at Wake Forest · The CW Network
Liberty at Florida International · ESPN+
Coastal Carolina at Georgia Southern · ESPN+
Florida at Ole Miss · ESPN
Purdue at Washington · FS1
Utah at Baylor · ESPN2
Delaware at Sam Houston · ESPN+
Utah State at UNLV · CBSSN
Texas at Georgia · ABC
UCLA at Ohio State · NBC
Virginia Tech at Florida State · ACC Network
Mississippi State at Missouri · SEC Network
Kennesaw State at Jacksonville State · ESPNU
Louisiana Tech at Washington State · The CW Network
TCU at BYU · ESPN
Boise State at San Diego State · CBSSN
Wyoming at Fresno State · FS1
Based on 50,000 season simulations entering week 12, anchored to the Playoff Committee Rankings (week 12).