#8Indiana Hoosiers

5–0 · 2–0 BIG TEN

In the books

WEEK 6 · 2025

33%

Big Ten title game

17%

Win the Big Ten

99%

Make the playoff

28%

First-round bye

avg seed 5.4

How the week went: playoff odds 99% → >99% · title-game odds 33% → 36%.

Playoff odds by week

1 2 3 4 5 6

If Indiana wins out: 56% to win the Big Ten, 100% to make the playoff.

The Saturday rundown

ranked by what moves Indiana's path

Worth a glancesmaller, but real

…

… · FOX

Wisconsin at #20 Michigan

Big Ten race: Michigan losing helps your spot in the standings; Wisconsin visits your schedule in week 12 — keep them ranked.

Final · Wisconsin 10–24 MichiganWent the other way ✗

Root for Wisconsin+7.5 pp title-game odds

…

… · CBS

#7 Penn State at UCLA

Big Ten race: Penn State losing helps your spot in the standings; UCLA visits your schedule in week 9 — keep them ranked.

Final · Penn State 37–42 UCLAWish granted ✓

Root for UCLA+6.6 pp title-game odds

…

… · NBC

Minnesota at #1 Ohio State

Big Ten race: Ohio State losing helps your spot in the standings; you still play Ohio State in week 15.

Final · Minnesota 3–42 Ohio StateWent the other way ✗

Root for Minnesota+5.6 pp title-game odds

…

… · BTN

Washington at Maryland

Big Ten race: Washington losing helps your spot in the standings; Maryland visits your schedule in week 10 — keep them ranked.

Final · Washington 24–20 MarylandWent the other way ✗

Root for Maryland+3.3 pp title-game odds

…

… · ABC

#3 Miami at #18 Florida State

You're close to a playoff lock — the live question is the top-4 seed and first-round bye, and Florida State winning protects it.

Final · Miami 28–22 Florida StateWent the other way ✗

Root for Florida State+3.4 pp first-round-bye odds

…

… · ESPN

#9 Texas at Florida

You're close to a playoff lock — the live question is the top-4 seed and first-round bye, and Florida winning protects it.

Final · Texas 21–29 FloridaWish granted ✓

Root for Florida+2.9 pp first-round-bye odds

44 more games that don't move your needle

Sam Houston at New Mexico State · CBSSN

Western Kentucky at Delaware · CBSSN

Charlotte at South Florida · ESPN2

New Mexico at San José State · FS1

West Virginia at BYU · ESPN

Colorado State at San Diego State · CBSSN

Kentucky at Georgia · ABC

Illinois at Purdue · BTN

Boston College at Pittsburgh · ACC Network

Clemson at North Carolina · ESPN

Kansas State at Baylor · ESPN+

Iowa State at Cincinnati · ESPN2

Air Force at Navy · CBS

Army at UAB · ESPNU

Ohio at Ball State · CBSSN

Wake Forest at Virginia Tech · The CW Network

UTSA at Temple · ESPN+

Western Michigan at Massachusetts · ESPN+

Oklahoma State at Arizona · truTV

Vanderbilt at Alabama · ABC

UL Monroe at Northwestern · BTN

Oregon State at App State · ESPN+

Virginia at Louisville · ESPN2

Syracuse at SMU · ACC Network

Boise State at Notre Dame · NBC

Florida International at UConn · CBSSN

James Madison at Georgia State · ESPN+

Central Michigan at Akron · ESPN+

Eastern Michigan at Buffalo · ESPN+

Miami (OH) at Northern Illinois · ESPN+

Kent State at Oklahoma · SEC Network

Michigan State at Nebraska · FS1

Texas State at Arkansas State · ESPNU

Coastal Carolina at Old Dominion · ESPN+

Texas Tech at Houston · ESPN

UNLV at Wyoming · CBSSN

South Alabama at Troy · ESPN+

Florida Atlantic at Rice · ESPN+

Mississippi State at Texas A&M · SEC Network

Colorado at TCU · FOX

Kansas at UCF · ESPN2

Tulsa at Memphis · ESPNU

Duke at California · ESPN

Nevada at Fresno State · CBSSN

Based on 50,000 season simulations entering week 6, anchored to the AP Top 25 (week 6).