
#3Indiana Hoosiers
The Saturday rundown
ranked by what moves Indiana's pathYour game. Beat Michigan State and your playoff odds are 89%; lose and they drop to 63%.
Big Ten race: Oregon losing helps your spot in the standings; you already beat Oregon; them losing again keeps them behind you.
USC winning thins out the at-large competition for your playoff spot.
You're close to a playoff lock — the live question is the top-4 seed and first-round bye, and Louisville winning protects it.
Big Ten race: Ohio State losing helps your spot in the standings; Wisconsin visits your schedule in week 12 — keep them ranked.
You're close to a playoff lock — the live question is the top-4 seed and first-round bye, and Arizona State winning protects it.
You're close to a playoff lock — the live question is the top-4 seed and first-round bye, and Penn State winning protects it; you already beat Iowa; them losing again keeps them behind you; Penn State visits your schedule in week 11 — keep them ranked.
Kentucky winning thins out the at-large competition for your playoff spot.
Arkansas winning thins out the at-large competition for your playoff spot.
50 more games that don't move your needle
Based on 50,000 season simulations entering week 8, anchored to the AP Top 25 (week 8). How the model works.