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#3Indiana Hoosiers

60 · 30 BIG TEN
In the books
WEEK 8 · 2025
80%
Big Ten title game
37%
Win the Big Ten
88%
Make the playoff
46%
First-round bye
avg seed 4.8
How the week went: playoff odds 88%96% · title-game odds 80%77%.
Playoff odds by week

If Indiana wins out: 49% to win the Big Ten, >99% to make the playoff.

The Saturday rundown

ranked by what moves Indiana's path
Your game
· Peacock
Michigan State at #3 Indiana

Your game. Beat Michigan State and your playoff odds are 89%; lose and they drop to 63%.

Final · Michigan State 1338 IndianaWish granted ✓
Just win
Worth a glancesmaller, but real
· BTN
#8 Oregon at Rutgers

Big Ten race: Oregon losing helps your spot in the standings; you already beat Oregon; them losing again keeps them behind you.

Final · Oregon 5610 RutgersWent the other way ✗
Root for Rutgers+6.3 pp title-game odds
· NBC
#20 USC at #13 Notre Dame

USC winning thins out the at-large competition for your playoff spot.

Final · USC 2434 Notre DameWent the other way ✗
Root for USC+2.4 pp playoff odds
· ESPN
Louisville at #2 Miami

You're close to a playoff lock — the live question is the top-4 seed and first-round bye, and Louisville winning protects it.

Final · Louisville 2421 MiamiWish granted ✓
Root for Louisville+3.5 pp first-round-bye odds
· CBS
#1 Ohio State at Wisconsin

Big Ten race: Ohio State losing helps your spot in the standings; Wisconsin visits your schedule in week 12 — keep them ranked.

Final · Ohio State 340 WisconsinWent the other way ✗
Root for Wisconsin+2.9 pp title-game odds
· FOX
#7 Texas Tech at Arizona State

You're close to a playoff lock — the live question is the top-4 seed and first-round bye, and Arizona State winning protects it.

Final · Texas Tech 2226 Arizona StateWish granted ✓
Root for Arizona State+3.3 pp first-round-bye odds
· Peacock
Penn State at Iowa

You're close to a playoff lock — the live question is the top-4 seed and first-round bye, and Penn State winning protects it; you already beat Iowa; them losing again keeps them behind you; Penn State visits your schedule in week 11 — keep them ranked.

Final · Penn State 2425 IowaWent the other way ✗
Root for Penn State+2.4 pp first-round-bye odds
· ESPN
#21 Texas at Kentucky

Kentucky winning thins out the at-large competition for your playoff spot.

Final · Texas 1613 KentuckyWent the other way ✗
Root for Kentucky+1.3 pp playoff odds
· ESPN
#4 Texas A&M at Arkansas

Arkansas winning thins out the at-large competition for your playoff spot.

Final · Texas A&M 4542 ArkansasWent the other way ✗
Root for Arkansas+1.2 pp playoff odds
50 more games that don't move your needle
Arkansas State at South Alabama · ESPN2
Purdue at Northwestern · BTN
LSU at Vanderbilt · ABC
New Mexico State at Liberty · CBSSN
Florida International at Western Kentucky · ESPNU
Delaware at Jacksonville State · ESPN2
UTEP at Sam Houston · CBSSN
Tulsa at East Carolina · ESPN
Nebraska at Minnesota · FOX
San José State at Utah State · CBSSN
North Carolina at California · ESPN
Washington at Michigan · FOX
Georgia Tech at Duke · ESPN
UConn at Boston College · ACC Network
Arizona at Houston · FS1
Baylor at TCU · ESPN2
Army at Tulane · ESPNU
Central Michigan at Bowling Green · CBSSN
Eastern Michigan at Miami (OH) · ESPN+
Oklahoma at South Carolina · SEC Network
West Virginia at UCF · TNT
Kent State at Toledo · ESPN+
Buffalo at Massachusetts · ESPN+
Troy at UL Monroe · ESPN+
Ole Miss at Georgia · ABC
SMU at Clemson · ACC Network
Wyoming at Air Force · CBSSN
UNLV at Boise State · FS1
Coastal Carolina at App State · ESPN+
Old Dominion at James Madison · ESPNU
Texas State at Marshall · ESPN+
Temple at Charlotte · ESPN+
UTSA at North Texas · ESPN+
Akron at Ball State · ESPN+
Northern Illinois at Ohio · ESPN+
Memphis at UAB · ESPN2
Mississippi State at Florida · SEC Network
Southern Miss at Louisiana · ESPN+
Washington State at Virginia · The CW Network
Maryland at UCLA · FS1
Hawai'i at Colorado State
Georgia State at Georgia Southern · ESPN+
Tennessee at Alabama · ABC
Pittsburgh at Syracuse · ACC Network
Florida Atlantic at South Florida · ESPNU
Missouri at Auburn · SEC Network
Utah at BYU · FOX
Cincinnati at Oklahoma State · ESPN2
Nevada at New Mexico · FS1
Florida State at Stanford · ESPN

Based on 50,000 season simulations entering week 8, anchored to the AP Top 25 (week 8). How the model works.