
#11Indiana Hoosiers
The Saturday rundown
ranked by what moves Indiana's pathYour game. Beat Iowa and your playoff odds are 63%; lose and they drop to 33%.
Arkansas winning thins out the at-large competition for your playoff spot.
Big Ten race: Ohio State losing helps your spot in the standings; you still play Ohio State in week 15.
Big Ten race: USC losing helps your spot in the standings; you beat Illinois — their wins make your résumé stronger.
Utah State winning thins out the at-large competition for your playoff spot.
Big Ten race: Penn State losing helps your spot in the standings; Oregon visits your schedule in week 7 — keep them ranked.
UCLA visits your schedule in week 9 — keep them ranked.
Auburn winning thins out the at-large competition for your playoff spot.
Georgia winning thins out the at-large competition for your playoff spot.
42 more games that don't move your needle
Based on 50,000 season simulations entering week 5, anchored to the AP Top 25 (week 5). How the model works.