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#2Indiana Hoosiers

10–0 · 7–0 BIG TEN
In the books
WEEK 12 · 2025
>99%
Big Ten title game
56%
Win the Big Ten
>99%
Make the playoff
85%
First-round bye
avg seed 2.6
How the week went: playoff odds >99% → >99%.
Playoff odds by week
123456789101112

The Saturday rundown

ranked by what moves Indiana's path
Your game
…
… · BTN
Wisconsin at #2 Indiana

Your game. Beat Wisconsin and your playoff odds are >99%; lose and they drop to 93%.

Final · Wisconsin 7–31 IndianaWish granted ✓
Just win
Worth a glancesmaller, but real
…
… · ESPN
South Carolina at #3 Texas A&M

You're close to a playoff lock — the live question is the top-4 seed and first-round bye, and South Carolina winning protects it.

Final · South Carolina 30–31 Texas A&MWent the other way ✗
Root for South Carolina+3.6 pp first-round-bye odds
…
… · FOX
UCF at #6 Texas Tech

You're close to a playoff lock — the live question is the top-4 seed and first-round bye, and UCF winning protects it.

Final · UCF 9–48 Texas TechWent the other way ✗
Root for UCF+3.5 pp first-round-bye odds
…
… · NBC
UCLA at #1 Ohio State

Seeding watch: UCLA winning moves you from around the 3rd seed toward the 2nd — a friendlier bracket; you beat UCLA — their wins make your résumé stronger; you still play Ohio State in week 15.

Final · UCLA 10–48 Ohio StateWent the other way ✗
Root for UCLA≈0.3 seed lines
…
… · FOX
Minnesota at #8 Oregon

You're close to a playoff lock — the live question is the top-4 seed and first-round bye, and Minnesota winning protects it; you already beat Oregon; them losing again keeps them behind you.

Final · Minnesota 13–42 OregonWent the other way ✗
Root for Minnesota+2.4 pp first-round-bye odds
53 more games that don't move your needle
Florida at Ole Miss · ESPN
Texas at Georgia · ABC
Utah at Baylor · ESPN2
Kent State at Akron · ESPNU
Ohio at Western Michigan · ESPN2
Buffalo at Central Michigan · CBSSN
Northern Illinois at Massachusetts · ESPNU
Toledo at Miami (OH) · ESPN2
Troy at Old Dominion · ESPN
Clemson at Louisville · ESPN
Michigan at Northwestern · FOX
Notre Dame at Pittsburgh · ABC
Arizona at Cincinnati · FS1
Kansas State at Oklahoma State · ESPNU
Air Force at UConn · CBSSN
UTSA at Charlotte · ESPN+
South Florida at Navy · ESPN2
Eastern Michigan at Ball State · ESPN+
Arkansas at LSU · SEC Network
Oregon State at Tulsa · The CW Network
West Virginia at Arizona State · truTV
Marshall at Georgia State · ESPN+
North Texas at UAB · ESPN+
UTEP at Missouri State · ESPN+
Colorado State at New Mexico
Oklahoma at Alabama · ABC
Penn State at Michigan State · CBS
Maryland at Illinois · FS1
Iowa at USC · BTN
Georgia Tech at Boston College · ACC Network
Virginia at Duke · ESPN2
NC State at Miami · ESPN
Middle Tennessee at Western Kentucky · ESPN+
San José State at Nevada · CBSSN
App State at James Madison · ESPN+
South Alabama at UL Monroe · ESPN+
Texas State at Southern Miss · ESPN+
Memphis at East Carolina · ESPNU
Florida Atlantic at Tulane · ESPN+
New Mexico State at Tennessee · SEC Network
North Carolina at Wake Forest · The CW Network
Liberty at Florida International · ESPN+
Coastal Carolina at Georgia Southern · ESPN+
Purdue at Washington · FS1
Delaware at Sam Houston · ESPN+
Utah State at UNLV · CBSSN
Virginia Tech at Florida State · ACC Network
Mississippi State at Missouri · SEC Network
Kennesaw State at Jacksonville State · ESPNU
Louisiana Tech at Washington State · The CW Network
TCU at BYU · ESPN
Boise State at San Diego State · CBSSN
Wyoming at Fresno State · FS1

Based on 50,000 season simulations entering week 12, anchored to the Playoff Committee Rankings (week 12). How the model works.