The Conference USA race
12 teams · two title-game spots
In the books
WEEK 6 · 2025
12 teams are still alive for the two title-game spots.
Most likely championship game
how often each matchup comes up in the simsStandings & projections
records entering week 6; projections from the remaining schedule| Team | Conf | Overall | Proj. final | Title game | Champ | Playoff |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Jacksonville State | 1–0 | 2–3 | 6.4–1.6 | 64% | 36% | 2% |
 Delaware | 1–0 | 3–1 | 5.8–2.2 | 47% | 25% | 1% |
 Louisiana Tech | 2–0 | 4–1 | 6.0–2.0 | 45% | 22% | <1% |
 Western Kentucky | 2–0 | 4–1 | 5.3–2.7 | 24% | 10% | <1% |
 Kennesaw State | 1–0 | 3–2 | 3.4–4.6 | 2% | <1% | 0% |
 Liberty | 0–1 | 1–4 | 4.4–3.6 | 11% | 4% | <1% |
 Missouri State | 0–1 | 2–3 | 3.9–4.1 | 3% | 1% | <1% |
 Florida International | 0–1 | 2–2 | 3.4–4.6 | 3% | <1% | <1% |
 Sam Houston | 0–1 | 0–4 | 2.5–5.5 | <1% | <1% | 0% |
 UTEP | 0–1 | 1–4 | 2.4–5.6 | <1% | <1% | 0% |
 Middle Tennessee | 0–1 | 1–4 | 2.2–5.8 | <1% | <1% | 0% |
 New Mexico State | 0–1 | 2–2 | 2.5–5.5 | <1% | <1% | 0% |
Based on 50,000 season simulations entering week 6, anchored to the AP Top 25 (week 6). How the model works.