Penn State Nittany Lions

6–6 · 3–6 BIG TEN

In the books

WEEK 16 · 2025

Big Ten title game

Win the Big Ten

<1%

Make the playoff

First-round bye

avg seed 9.6

The Big Ten title is out of reach — the playoff path runs through an at-large bid.

How the week went: playoff odds <1% → <1%.

Playoff odds by week

If Penn State wins out: 0% to win the Big Ten, <1% to make the playoff.

The Saturday rundown

ranked by what moves Penn State's path

No other game this week meaningfully moves Penn State's odds. Enjoy the football.

1 more games that don't move your needle

Army at Navy · CBS

Based on 50,000 season simulations entering week 16, anchored to the Playoff Committee Rankings (week 16). How the model works.