Penn State Nittany Lions
3–2 · 0–2 BIG TEN
In the books
WEEK 7 · 2025
2%
Big Ten title game
1%
Win the Big Ten
22%
Make the playoff
2%
First-round bye
avg seed 8.0
How the week went: playoff odds 22% → 15% · title-game odds 2% → <1%.
The Saturday rundown
ranked by what moves Penn State's pathYour game
…
… · FS1
Northwestern at Penn State
Your game. Beat Northwestern and your playoff odds are 23%; lose and they drop to 7%.
Final · Northwestern 22–21 Penn StateWent the other way ✗
Just win
Worth a glancesmaller, but real
…
… · FOX
#1 Ohio State at #17 Illinois
Big Ten race: Ohio State losing helps your spot in the standings; you still play Ohio State in week 10.
Final · Ohio State 34–16 IllinoisWent the other way ✗
Root for Illinois+2.8 pp title-game odds
…
… · CBS
#7 Indiana at #3 Oregon
Oregon losing softens the sting of your loss to them; Indiana visits your schedule in week 11 — keep them ranked.
Final · Indiana 30–20 OregonWish granted ✓
Root for Indiana+1.4 pp playoff odds
…
… · FS1
Iowa at Wisconsin
Iowa visits your schedule in week 8 — keep them ranked.
Final · Iowa 37–0 WisconsinWish granted ✓
Root for Iowa+1.3 pp playoff odds
…
… · ESPNU
Rice at UTSA
UTSA winning thins out the at-large competition for your playoff spot.
Final · Rice 13–61 UTSAWish granted ✓
Root for UTSA+1.3 pp playoff odds
…
… · ABC
#6 Oklahoma at Texas
Texas winning thins out the at-large competition for your playoff spot.
Final · Oklahoma 6–23 TexasWish granted ✓
Root for Texas+1.2 pp playoff odds
…
… · ESPN
Florida at #5 Texas A&M
Florida winning thins out the at-large competition for your playoff spot.
Final · Florida 17–34 Texas A&MWent the other way ✗
Root for Florida+1.2 pp playoff odds
49 more games that don't move your needle
Missouri State at Middle Tennessee · ESPN2
Liberty at UTEP · CBSSN
Louisiana Tech at Kennesaw State · ESPNU
East Carolina at Tulane · ESPN
Jacksonville State at Sam Houston · CBSSN
Southern Miss at Georgia Southern · ESPN2
South Florida at North Texas · ESPN2
Rutgers at Washington · FS1
Fresno State at Colorado State · CBSSN
Alabama at Missouri · ABC
UCLA at Michigan State · BTN
Pittsburgh at Florida State · ESPN
Stanford at SMU · The CW Network
UCF at Cincinnati · FS1
Houston at Oklahoma State · TNT
Louisiana at James Madison · ESPN2
Charlotte at Army · CBSSN
Miami (OH) at Akron · ESPN+
Toledo at Bowling Green · ESPNU
Washington State at Ole Miss · SEC Network
Northern Illinois at Eastern Michigan · ESPN+
Massachusetts at Kent State · ESPN+
Nebraska at Maryland · BTN
Virginia Tech at Georgia Tech · ACC Network
NC State at Notre Dame · Peacock
Wake Forest at Oregon State · The CW Network
Iowa State at Colorado · ESPN
TCU at Kansas State · FOX
Air Force at UNLV · CBSSN
App State at Georgia State · ESPN+
Old Dominion at Marshall · ESPN+
Ball State at Western Michigan · ESPN+
Navy at Temple · ESPN2
Arkansas at Tennessee · SEC Network
UAB at Florida Atlantic · ESPN+
San José State at Wyoming · CBSSN
UL Monroe at Coastal Carolina · ESPN+
Georgia at Auburn · ABC
Purdue at Minnesota · BTN
Michigan at USC · NBC
Clemson at Boston College · ACC Network
Kansas at Texas Tech · FOX
South Carolina at LSU · SEC Network
BYU at Arizona · ESPN2
Troy at Texas State · ESPN+
New Mexico at Boise State · FS1
Arizona State at Utah · ESPN
San Diego State at Nevada · CBSSN
Utah State at Hawai'i
Based on 50,000 season simulations entering week 7, anchored to the AP Top 25 (week 7). How the model works.