#2Penn State Nittany Lions
2–0 · 0–0 BIG TEN
In the books
WEEK 3 · 2025
64%
Big Ten title game
43%
Win the Big Ten
98%
Make the playoff
77%
First-round bye
avg seed 2.9
How the week went: playoff odds 98% → >99% · title-game odds 64% → 71%.
The Saturday rundown
ranked by what moves Penn State's pathYour game
TBD
Villanova at #2 Penn State
Your game. Just win — and don't let it get interesting.
Final · Villanova 6–52 Penn StateWish granted ✓
Just win
Worth a glancesmaller, but real
…
… · FOX
#4 Oregon at Northwestern
Big Ten race: Oregon losing helps your spot in the standings; Northwestern visits your schedule in week 7 — keep them ranked.
Final · Oregon 34–14 NorthwesternWent the other way ✗
Root for Northwestern+5.4 pp title-game odds
…
… · CBS
USC at Purdue
Big Ten race: USC losing helps your spot in the standings.
Final · USC 33–17 PurdueWent the other way ✗
Root for Purdue+5.3 pp title-game odds
…
… · NBC
#16 Texas A&M at #8 Notre Dame
You're close to a playoff lock — the live question is the top-4 seed and first-round bye, and Texas A&M winning protects it.
Final · Texas A&M 41–40 Notre DameWish granted ✓
Root for Texas A&M+3.4 pp first-round-bye odds
…
… · BTN
Central Michigan at #23 Michigan
You're close to a playoff lock — the live question is the top-4 seed and first-round bye, and Central Michigan winning protects it.
Final · Central Michigan 3–63 MichiganWent the other way ✗
Root for Central Michigan+2.6 pp first-round-bye odds
43 more games that don't move your needle
Buffalo at Kent State · CBSSN
Old Dominion at Virginia Tech · ACC Network
Boston College at Stanford · ACC Network
NC State at Wake Forest · ESPN
Colorado at Houston · ESPN
Kansas State at Arizona · FOX
New Mexico at UCLA · BTN
Wisconsin at Alabama · ABC
Oklahoma at Temple · ESPN2
Clemson at Georgia Tech · ESPN
Memphis at Troy · ESPNU
South Alabama at Auburn · SEC Network
Louisiana at Missouri · ESPN+
UConn at Delaware · ESPN+
Georgia at Tennessee · ABC
Oregon State at Texas Tech · FOX
Washington State at North Texas · ESPNU
SMU at Missouri State · CBSSN
Pittsburgh at West Virginia · ESPN
Iowa State at Arkansas State · ESPN2
UTEP at Texas · SEC Network
South Florida at Miami · The CW Network
Liberty at Bowling Green · ESPN+
Middle Tennessee at Nevada
Florida Atlantic at Florida International · ESPN+
Arkansas at Ole Miss · ESPN
Ohio at Ohio State · Peacock
Western Michigan at Illinois · FS1
Jacksonville State at Georgia Southern · ESPN+
App State at Southern Miss · ESPN+
Eastern Michigan at Kentucky · ESPNU
Florida at LSU · ABC
Massachusetts at Iowa · BTN
New Mexico State at Louisiana Tech · ESPN+
East Carolina at Coastal Carolina · ESPN+
Vanderbilt at South Carolina · SEC Network
Duke at Tulane · ESPN2
Utah at Wyoming · CBSSN
Navy at Tulsa · ESPN+
Akron at UAB · ESPN+
Air Force at Utah State · FS1
Minnesota at California · ESPN
Texas State at Arizona State · TNT
Based on 50,000 season simulations entering week 3, anchored to the AP Top 25 (week 3). How the model works.