Penn State Nittany Lions
3–3 · 0–3 BIG TEN
In the books
WEEK 8 · 2025
<1%
Big Ten title game
<1%
Win the Big Ten
15%
Make the playoff
<1%
First-round bye
avg seed 8.4
How the week went: playoff odds 15% → 10%.
The Saturday rundown
ranked by what moves Penn State's pathYour game
…
… · Peacock
Penn State at Iowa
Your game. Beat Iowa and your playoff odds are 22%; lose and they drop to 5%.
Final · Penn State 24–25 IowaWent the other way ✗
Just win
Worth a glancesmaller, but real
…
… · BTN
#8 Oregon at Rutgers
Oregon losing softens the sting of your loss to them; Rutgers visits your schedule in week 14 — keep them ranked.
Final · Oregon 56–10 RutgersWent the other way ✗
Root for Rutgers+2.7 pp playoff odds
…
… · CBS
#1 Ohio State at Wisconsin
Ohio State visits your schedule in week 10 — keep them ranked.
Final · Ohio State 34–0 WisconsinWish granted ✓
Root for Ohio State+2.1 pp playoff odds
…
… · ESPN
#4 Texas A&M at Arkansas
Arkansas winning thins out the at-large competition for your playoff spot.
Final · Texas A&M 45–42 ArkansasWent the other way ✗
Root for Arkansas+1.6 pp playoff odds
…
… · NBC
#20 USC at #13 Notre Dame
USC winning thins out the at-large competition for your playoff spot.
Final · USC 24–34 Notre DameWent the other way ✗
Root for USC+1.3 pp playoff odds
54 more games that don't move your needle
New Mexico State at Liberty · CBSSN
Arkansas State at South Alabama · ESPN2
Florida International at Western Kentucky · ESPNU
Delaware at Jacksonville State · ESPN2
UTEP at Sam Houston · CBSSN
Tulsa at East Carolina · ESPN
Louisville at Miami · ESPN
Nebraska at Minnesota · FOX
San José State at Utah State · CBSSN
North Carolina at California · ESPN
LSU at Vanderbilt · ABC
Washington at Michigan · FOX
Georgia Tech at Duke · ESPN
UConn at Boston College · ACC Network
Arizona at Houston · FS1
Baylor at TCU · ESPN2
Army at Tulane · ESPNU
Central Michigan at Bowling Green · CBSSN
Eastern Michigan at Miami (OH) · ESPN+
Oklahoma at South Carolina · SEC Network
West Virginia at UCF · TNT
Kent State at Toledo · ESPN+
Buffalo at Massachusetts · ESPN+
Purdue at Northwestern · BTN
Troy at UL Monroe · ESPN+
Ole Miss at Georgia · ABC
Michigan State at Indiana · Peacock
SMU at Clemson · ACC Network
Wyoming at Air Force · CBSSN
UNLV at Boise State · FS1
Coastal Carolina at App State · ESPN+
Old Dominion at James Madison · ESPNU
Texas State at Marshall · ESPN+
Temple at Charlotte · ESPN+
UTSA at North Texas · ESPN+
Akron at Ball State · ESPN+
Northern Illinois at Ohio · ESPN+
Texas Tech at Arizona State · FOX
Memphis at UAB · ESPN2
Mississippi State at Florida · SEC Network
Southern Miss at Louisiana · ESPN+
Washington State at Virginia · The CW Network
Texas at Kentucky · ESPN
Maryland at UCLA · FS1
Hawai'i at Colorado State
Georgia State at Georgia Southern · ESPN+
Tennessee at Alabama · ABC
Pittsburgh at Syracuse · ACC Network
Florida Atlantic at South Florida · ESPNU
Missouri at Auburn · SEC Network
Utah at BYU · FOX
Cincinnati at Oklahoma State · ESPN2
Nevada at New Mexico · FS1
Florida State at Stanford · ESPN
Based on 50,000 season simulations entering week 8, anchored to the AP Top 25 (week 8). How the model works.