The SEC race
16 teams · two title-game spots
In the books
WEEK 16 · 2025
The title game is set: Georgia vs Alabama.
Most likely championship game
how often each matchup comes up in the simsStandings & projections
records entering week 16; projections from the remaining schedule| Team | Conf | Overall | Proj. final | Title game | Champ | Playoff |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 #3GeorgiaClinched | 7–1 | 12–1 | 7.0–1.0 | 100% | 100% | 100% |
 #9AlabamaClinched | 7–1 | 10–3 | 7.0–1.0 | 100% | 0% | 54% |
 #6Ole Miss | 7–1 | 11–1 | 7.0–1.0 | 0% | 0% | 97% |
 #7Texas A&M | 7–1 | 11–1 | 7.0–1.0 | 0% | 0% | 63% |
 #8Oklahoma | 6–2 | 10–2 | 6.0–2.0 | 0% | 0% | 58% |
 #13Texas | 6–2 | 9–3 | 6.0–2.0 | 0% | 0% | 30% |
 #14Vanderbilt | 6–2 | 10–2 | 6.0–2.0 | 0% | 0% | 20% |
 Missouri | 4–4 | 8–4 | 4.0–4.0 | 0% | 0% | <1% |
 Tennessee | 4–4 | 8–4 | 4.0–4.0 | 0% | 0% | <1% |
 LSU | 3–5 | 7–5 | 3.0–5.0 | 0% | 0% | 0% |
 Florida | 2–6 | 4–8 | 2.0–6.0 | 0% | 0% | 0% |
 Kentucky | 2–6 | 5–7 | 2.0–6.0 | 0% | 0% | 0% |
 Auburn | 1–7 | 5–7 | 1.0–7.0 | 0% | 0% | 0% |
 Mississippi State | 1–7 | 5–7 | 1.0–7.0 | 0% | 0% | 0% |
 South Carolina | 1–7 | 4–8 | 1.0–7.0 | 0% | 0% | <1% |
 Arkansas | 0–8 | 2–10 | 0.0–8.0 | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Based on 50,000 season simulations entering week 16, anchored to the Playoff Committee Rankings (week 16). How the model works.