The SEC race
16 teams · two title-game spots
Looking ahead
WEEK 14 · 2026
SEC Championship Game: Sat, Dec 5 · Mercedes-Benz Stadium, Atlanta, GA. Winner takes the league's automatic playoff bid.
Week 14 is still ahead — here's the race as it stands entering week 6.
Most likely championship game
how often each matchup comes up in the simsStandings & projections
records entering week 6; projections from the remaining schedule| Team | Conf | Overall | Proj. final | Title game | Champ | Playoff |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 #2Georgia | 3–0 | 5–0 | 7.8–1.2 | 72% | 46% | 95% |
 #6Alabama | 3–0 | 5–0 | 7.4–1.6 | 61% | 31% | 85% |
 #1Texas | 1–0 | 4–0 | 7.1–1.9 | 46% | 19% | 92% |
 #16Florida | 2–1 | 4–1 | 4.5–4.5 | 2% | <1% | 9% |
 #17Mississippi State | 2–1 | 4–1 | 4.0–5.0 | <1% | <1% | 5% |
 Kentucky | 2–1 | 4–1 | 3.8–5.2 | <1% | <1% | <1% |
 #15Tennessee | 1–1 | 4–1 | 5.1–3.9 | 4% | 1% | 20% |
 #9Ole Miss | 1–1 | 3–1 | 4.6–4.4 | 4% | 1% | 30% |
 #14Missouri | 1–1 | 4–1 | 4.7–4.3 | 3% | <1% | 17% |
 #10LSU | 1–1 | 4–1 | 4.5–4.5 | 3% | <1% | 21% |
 Texas A&M | 1–2 | 3–2 | 3.7–5.3 | <1% | <1% | 9% |
 Auburn | 1–2 | 3–2 | 3.2–5.8 | <1% | <1% | 2% |
 Oklahoma | 0–1 | 2–2 | 4.2–4.8 | 2% | <1% | 8% |
 Vanderbilt | 0–2 | 3–2 | 3.6–5.4 | <1% | <1% | 6% |
 Arkansas | 0–2 | 2–3 | 1.5–7.5 | 0% | 0% | <1% |
 South Carolina | 0–3 | 2–3 | 2.3–6.7 | <1% | 0% | 2% |
Based on 50,000 season simulations entering week 6, anchored to the AP Top 25 (week 6). How the model works.