The SEC race
16 teams · two title-game spots
In the books
WEEK 0 · 2026
16 teams are still alive for the two title-game spots.
Most likely championship game
how often each matchup comes up in the simsStandings & projections
records entering week 0; projections from the remaining schedule| Team | Conf | Overall | Proj. final | Title game | Champ | Playoff |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Texas | 0–0 | 0–0 | 6.5–2.5 | 42% | 26% | 65% |
Georgia | 0–0 | 0–0 | 6.2–2.8 | 33% | 18% | 52% |
Ole Miss | 0–0 | 0–0 | 5.7–3.3 | 23% | 12% | 38% |
Texas A&M | 0–0 | 0–0 | 5.7–3.3 | 22% | 12% | 42% |
Alabama | 0–0 | 0–0 | 5.7–3.3 | 23% | 11% | 35% |
Oklahoma | 0–0 | 0–0 | 5.2–3.8 | 15% | 7% | 27% |
Vanderbilt | 0–0 | 0–0 | 5.2–3.8 | 12% | 4% | 17% |
South Carolina | 0–0 | 0–0 | 5.0–4.0 | 10% | 4% | 15% |
LSU | 0–0 | 0–0 | 4.8–4.2 | 9% | 4% | 15% |
Tennessee | 0–0 | 0–0 | 4.3–4.7 | 5% | 2% | 6% |
Missouri | 0–0 | 0–0 | 3.9–5.1 | 3% | <1% | 4% |
Florida | 0–0 | 0–0 | 3.6–5.4 | 3% | <1% | 4% |
Auburn | 0–0 | 0–0 | 3.3–5.7 | <1% | <1% | 1% |
Mississippi State | 0–0 | 0–0 | 2.7–6.3 | <1% | <1% | <1% |
Arkansas | 0–0 | 0–0 | 2.4–6.6 | <1% | <1% | <1% |
Kentucky | 0–0 | 0–0 | 1.7–7.3 | <1% | <1% | <1% |
Based on 50,000 season simulations entering week 0. How the model works.















