#13Texas Longhorns

9–3 · 6–2 SEC

In the books

WEEK 16 · 2025

SEC title game

Win the SEC

30%

Make the playoff

<1%

First-round bye

avg seed 8.5

The SEC title is out of reach — the playoff path runs through an at-large bid.

How the week went: playoff odds 30% → 30%.

Playoff odds by week

If Texas wins out: 0% to win the SEC, 30% to make the playoff.

The Saturday rundown

ranked by what moves Texas's path

No other game this week meaningfully moves Texas's odds. Enjoy the football.

1 more games that don't move your needle

Army at Navy · CBS

Based on 50,000 season simulations entering week 16, anchored to the Playoff Committee Rankings (week 16). How the model works.