#7Texas Longhorns
0–1 · 0–0 SEC
In the books
WEEK 2 · 2025
23%
SEC title game
9%
Win the SEC
60%
Make the playoff
13%
First-round bye
avg seed 6.8
How the week went: playoff odds 60% → 68% · title-game odds 23% → 25%.
The Saturday rundown
ranked by what moves Texas's pathYour game
…
… · ABC
San José State at #7 Texas
Your game. Beat San José State and your playoff odds are 61%; lose and they drop to 41%.
Final · San José State 7–38 TexasWish granted ✓
Just win
Big swingsthese move your odds the most
…
… · ABC
#20 Ole Miss at Kentucky
SEC race: Ole Miss losing helps your spot in the standings; Kentucky visits your schedule in week 8 — keep them ranked.
Final · Ole Miss 30–23 KentuckyWent the other way ✗
Root for Kentucky+10.6 pp title-game odds
Worth a glancesmaller, but real
…
… · FS1
Kennesaw State at #23 Indiana
Kennesaw State winning thins out the at-large competition for your playoff spot.
Final · Kennesaw State 9–56 IndianaWent the other way ✗
Root for Kennesaw State+3.3 pp playoff odds
…
… · ESPN2
#12 Arizona State at Mississippi State
Mississippi State visits your schedule in week 9 — keep them ranked.
Final · Arizona State 20–24 Mississippi StateWish granted ✓
Root for Mississippi State+1.5 pp playoff odds
…
… · ESPN+
Arkansas State at Arkansas
Arkansas visits your schedule in week 13 — keep them ranked.
Final · Arkansas State 14–56 ArkansasWish granted ✓
Root for Arkansas+1.4 pp playoff odds
…
… · ABC
#15 Michigan at #18 Oklahoma
Oklahoma visits your schedule in week 7 — keep them ranked.
Final · Michigan 13–24 OklahomaWish granted ✓
Root for Oklahoma+1.4 pp playoff odds
…
… · ESPN
#11 Illinois at Duke
Duke winning thins out the at-large competition for your playoff spot.
Final · Illinois 45–19 DukeWent the other way ✗
Root for Duke+1.3 pp playoff odds
43 more games that don't move your needle
James Madison at Louisville · ESPN2
Northern Illinois at Maryland · BTN
Florida International at Penn State · BTN
Iowa at Iowa State · FOX
Virginia at NC State · ESPN2
Baylor at SMU · The CW Network
Central Michigan at Pittsburgh · ESPNU
UConn at Syracuse · ESPN+
Kent State at Texas Tech · TNT
Liberty at Jacksonville State · CBSSN
Utah State at Texas A&M · SEC Network
Kansas at Missouri · ESPN2
Miami (OH) at Rutgers · Peacock
Oklahoma State at Oregon · CBS
Fresno State at Oregon State · The CW Network
Troy at Clemson · ACC Network
Bowling Green at Cincinnati · ESPN+
Delaware at Colorado · FOX
Texas State at UTSA · ESPN+
UAB at Navy · CBSSN
North Texas at Western Michigan · ESPN+
Middle Tennessee at Wisconsin · FS1
West Virginia at Ohio · ESPNU
South Florida at Florida · SEC Network
Missouri State at Marshall · ESPN+
North Carolina at Charlotte · ESPN+
Army at Kansas State · ESPN
Houston at Rice · ESPN+
Western Kentucky at Toledo · ESPN+
Memphis at Georgia State · ESPN+
Tulane at South Alabama · ESPN+
Ball State at Auburn · ESPNU
Louisiana Tech at LSU · ESPN+
Vanderbilt at Virginia Tech · ACC Network
Akron at Nebraska · BTN
Georgia Southern at USC · FS1
Boston College at Michigan State · NBC
UL Monroe at Alabama · SEC Network
UCLA at UNLV · CBSSN
Tulsa at New Mexico State · ESPN+
San Diego State at Washington State · The CW Network
Stanford at BYU · ESPN
Sam Houston at Hawai'i
Based on 50,000 season simulations entering week 2, anchored to the AP Top 25 (week 2). How the model works.