#9Texas Longhorns
3–1 · 0–0 SEC
In the books
WEEK 6 · 2025
36%
SEC title game
19%
Win the SEC
73%
Make the playoff
29%
First-round bye
avg seed 5.6
How the week went: playoff odds 73% → 15% · title-game odds 36% → 10%.
The Saturday rundown
ranked by what moves Texas's pathYour game
…
… · ESPN
#9 Texas at Florida
Your game. Beat Florida and your playoff odds are 77%; lose and they drop to 57%.
Final · Texas 21–29 FloridaWent the other way ✗
Just win
Big swingsthese move your odds the most
…
… · SEC Network
Kent State at #5 Oklahoma
You still play Oklahoma in week 7.
Final · Kent State 0–44 OklahomaWent the other way ✗
Root for Kent State+8.3 pp playoff odds
…
… · ABC
Kentucky at #12 Georgia
SEC race: Georgia losing helps your spot in the standings; Kentucky visits your schedule in week 8 — keep them ranked.
Final · Kentucky 14–35 GeorgiaWent the other way ✗
Root for Kentucky+9.3 pp title-game odds
Worth a glancesmaller, but real
…
… · ABC
#16 Vanderbilt at #10 Alabama
SEC race: Alabama losing helps your spot in the standings; Vanderbilt visits your schedule in week 10 — keep them ranked.
Final · Vanderbilt 14–30 AlabamaWent the other way ✗
Root for Vanderbilt+7.5 pp title-game odds
…
… · SEC Network
Mississippi State at #6 Texas A&M
Mississippi State visits your schedule in week 9 — keep them ranked.
Final · Mississippi State 9–31 Texas A&MWent the other way ✗
Root for Mississippi State+1.7 pp playoff odds
45 more games that don't move your needle
Miami at Florida State · ABC
Sam Houston at New Mexico State · CBSSN
Western Kentucky at Delaware · CBSSN
Charlotte at South Florida · ESPN2
New Mexico at San José State · FS1
West Virginia at BYU · ESPN
Colorado State at San Diego State · CBSSN
Wisconsin at Michigan · FOX
Illinois at Purdue · BTN
Boston College at Pittsburgh · ACC Network
Clemson at North Carolina · ESPN
Kansas State at Baylor · ESPN+
Iowa State at Cincinnati · ESPN2
Air Force at Navy · CBS
Army at UAB · ESPNU
Ohio at Ball State · CBSSN
Wake Forest at Virginia Tech · The CW Network
UTSA at Temple · ESPN+
Western Michigan at Massachusetts · ESPN+
Oklahoma State at Arizona · truTV
Penn State at UCLA · CBS
Washington at Maryland · BTN
UL Monroe at Northwestern · BTN
Oregon State at App State · ESPN+
Virginia at Louisville · ESPN2
Syracuse at SMU · ACC Network
Boise State at Notre Dame · NBC
Florida International at UConn · CBSSN
James Madison at Georgia State · ESPN+
Central Michigan at Akron · ESPN+
Eastern Michigan at Buffalo · ESPN+
Miami (OH) at Northern Illinois · ESPN+
Michigan State at Nebraska · FS1
Texas State at Arkansas State · ESPNU
Coastal Carolina at Old Dominion · ESPN+
Texas Tech at Houston · ESPN
UNLV at Wyoming · CBSSN
South Alabama at Troy · ESPN+
Florida Atlantic at Rice · ESPN+
Minnesota at Ohio State · NBC
Colorado at TCU · FOX
Kansas at UCF · ESPN2
Tulsa at Memphis · ESPNU
Duke at California · ESPN
Nevada at Fresno State · CBSSN
Based on 50,000 season simulations entering week 6, anchored to the AP Top 25 (week 6). How the model works.