#10Texas Longhorns
3–1 · 0–0 SEC
In the books
WEEK 5 · 2025
37%
SEC title game
18%
Win the SEC
60%
Make the playoff
19%
First-round bye
avg seed 6.2
How the week went: playoff odds 60% → 73% · title-game odds 37% → 36%.
The Saturday rundown
ranked by what moves Texas's pathWorth a glancesmaller, but real
…
… · ABC
#17 Alabama at #5 Georgia
Georgia visits your schedule in week 12 — keep them ranked.
Final · Alabama 24–21 GeorgiaWent the other way ✗
Root for Georgia+2.8 pp playoff odds
…
… · ABC
#4 LSU at #13 Ole Miss
SEC race: Ole Miss losing helps your spot in the standings.
Final · LSU 19–24 Ole MissWent the other way ✗
Root for LSU+3.3 pp title-game odds
…
… · ABC
#22 Notre Dame at Arkansas
Arkansas visits your schedule in week 13 — keep them ranked.
Final · Notre Dame 56–13 ArkansasWent the other way ✗
Root for Arkansas+2.0 pp playoff odds
…
… · SEC Network
#15 Tennessee at Mississippi State
Mississippi State visits your schedule in week 9 — keep them ranked.
Final · Tennessee 41–34 Mississippi StateWent the other way ✗
Root for Mississippi State+2.0 pp playoff odds
…
… · ESPN+
Jacksonville State at Southern Miss
Southern Miss winning thins out the at-large competition for your playoff spot.
Final · Jacksonville State 25–42 Southern MissWish granted ✓
Root for Southern Miss+2.0 pp playoff odds
…
… · FOX
#21 USC at #23 Illinois
Illinois winning thins out the at-large competition for your playoff spot.
Final · USC 32–34 IllinoisWish granted ✓
Root for Illinois+1.6 pp playoff odds
…
… · SEC Network
Kentucky at South Carolina
Kentucky visits your schedule in week 8 — keep them ranked.
Final · Kentucky 13–35 South CarolinaWent the other way ✗
Root for Kentucky+1.4 pp playoff odds
44 more games that don't move your needle
App State at Boise State · FS1
Ohio State at Washington · CBS
Army at East Carolina · ESPN
Florida State at Virginia · ESPN
TCU at Arizona State · FOX
Houston at Oregon State · ESPN
Rutgers at Minnesota · BTN
Duke at Syracuse · ACC Network
Georgia Tech at Wake Forest · ESPN
Louisville at Pittsburgh · ESPN2
Cincinnati at Kansas · TNT
UCF at Kansas State · FS1
South Alabama at North Texas · ESPNU
Bowling Green at Ohio · CBSSN
Utah State at Vanderbilt · SEC Network
Eastern Michigan at Central Michigan · ESPN+
Georgia Southern at James Madison · ESPN+
Arkansas State at UL Monroe · ESPN+
Auburn at Texas A&M · ESPN
UCLA at Northwestern · BTN
Indiana at Iowa · Peacock
California at Boston College · ACC Network
Baylor at Oklahoma State · ESPN2
Utah at West Virginia · FOX
UConn at Buffalo · ESPN+
San Diego State at Northern Illinois · ESPN+
Rice at Navy · CBSSN
Akron at Toledo · ESPN+
New Mexico State at New Mexico
Hawai'i at Air Force · FS1
Tulane at Tulsa · ESPNU
Middle Tennessee at Kennesaw State · ESPN+
Liberty at Old Dominion · ESPN+
Virginia Tech at NC State · The CW Network
Arizona at Iowa State · ESPN
Western Kentucky at Missouri State · ESPN+
Memphis at Florida Atlantic · ESPN2
Massachusetts at Missouri · ESPNU
Oregon at Penn State · NBC
Washington State at Colorado State · CBSSN
San José State at Stanford · ACC Network
Marshall at Louisiana · ESPN+
Louisiana Tech at UTEP · ESPN+
BYU at Colorado · ESPN
Based on 50,000 season simulations entering week 5, anchored to the AP Top 25 (week 5). How the model works.