#17Texas Longhorns
7–3 · 4–2 SEC
In the books
WEEK 13 · 2025
0%
SEC title game
0%
Win the SEC
11%
Make the playoff
<1%
First-round bye
avg seed 8.9
The SEC title is out of reach — the playoff path runs through an at-large bid.
How the week went: playoff odds 11% → 20%.
The Saturday rundown
ranked by what moves Texas's pathYour game
…
… · ABC
Arkansas at #17 Texas
Your game. Beat Arkansas and your playoff odds are 13%; lose and they drop to <1%.
Final · Arkansas 37–52 TexasWish granted ✓
Just win
Worth a glancesmaller, but real
…
… · ABC
#22 Missouri at #8 Oklahoma
You already beat Oklahoma; them losing again keeps them behind you.
Final · Missouri 6–17 OklahomaWent the other way ✗
Root for Missouri+2.2 pp playoff odds
…
… · ESPN
Kentucky at #14 Vanderbilt
You beat Kentucky — their wins make your résumé stronger.
Final · Kentucky 17–45 VanderbiltWent the other way ✗
Root for Kentucky+1.7 pp playoff odds
…
… · ESPN2
Kansas State at #12 Utah
Kansas State winning thins out the at-large competition for your playoff spot.
Final · Kansas State 47–51 UtahWent the other way ✗
Root for Kansas State+1.5 pp playoff odds
…
… · FOX
#11 BYU at Cincinnati
Cincinnati winning thins out the at-large competition for your playoff spot.
Final · BYU 26–14 CincinnatiWent the other way ✗
Root for Cincinnati+1.3 pp playoff odds
55 more games that don't move your needle
Akron at Bowling Green · ESPNU
Massachusetts at Ohio · CBSSN
Western Michigan at Northern Illinois · ESPN2
Miami (OH) at Buffalo · ESPN2
Central Michigan at Kent State · ESPNU
Louisiana at Arkansas State · ESPN
Florida State at NC State · ESPN
Hawai'i at UNLV · FS1
Minnesota at Northwestern · BTN
Rutgers at Ohio State · FOX
Louisville at SMU · ESPN2
Miami at Virginia Tech · ESPN
Delaware at Wake Forest · ACC Network
Kansas at Iowa State · FS1
Tulsa at Army · CBSSN
Charlotte at Georgia · SEC Network
Washington State at James Madison · ESPN+
Baylor at Arizona · TNT
Old Dominion at Georgia Southern · ESPN+
Missouri State at Kennesaw State · ESPN+
Nevada at Wyoming
Ball State at Toledo · ESPN+
Marshall at App State · ESPN+
UConn at Florida Atlantic · ESPN+
Liberty at Louisiana Tech · ESPN+
Sam Houston at Middle Tennessee · ESPN+
New Mexico State at UTEP · ESPN+
South Florida at UAB · ESPN+
USC at Oregon · CBS
Michigan State at Iowa · FS1
Duke at North Carolina · ACC Network
Syracuse at Notre Dame · NBC
Jacksonville State at Florida International · CBSSN
Southern Miss at South Alabama · ESPN+
East Carolina at UTSA · ESPN+
Tulane at Temple · ESPNU
Michigan at Maryland · BTN
TCU at Houston · FOX
Oklahoma State at UCF · ESPN+
Georgia State at Troy · ESPN+
Coastal Carolina at South Carolina · SEC Network
UL Monroe at Texas State · ESPN+
Nebraska at Penn State · NBC
Pittsburgh at Georgia Tech · ESPN
New Mexico at Air Force · CBSSN
Colorado State at Boise State · FS1
Tennessee at Florida · ABC
Illinois at Wisconsin · BTN
California at Stanford · ACC Network
North Texas at Rice · ESPNU
Western Kentucky at LSU · SEC Network
Arizona State at Colorado · ESPN2
Washington at UCLA · NBC
Utah State at Fresno State · CBSSN
San José State at San Diego State · FS1
Based on 50,000 season simulations entering week 13, anchored to the Playoff Committee Rankings (week 13). How the model works.