The SEC race
16 teams · two title-game spots
In the books
WEEK 13 · 2025
4 teams are still alive for the two title-game spots.
Most likely championship game
how often each matchup comes up in the simsStandings & projections
records entering week 13; projections from the remaining schedule| Team | Conf | Overall | Proj. final | Title game | Champ | Playoff |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 #3Texas A&M | 7–0 | 10–0 | 7.4–0.6 | 44% | 17% | 99% |
 #4Georgia | 7–1 | 9–1 | 7.0–1.0 | 70% | 46% | 95% |
 #10Alabama | 6–1 | 8–2 | 6.8–1.2 | 75% | 33% | 51% |
 #6Ole Miss | 6–1 | 10–1 | 6.9–1.1 | 12% | 4% | 77% |
 #8Oklahoma | 4–2 | 8–2 | 5.4–2.6 | 0% | 0% | 59% |
 #17Texas | 4–2 | 7–3 | 5.5–2.5 | 0% | 0% | 11% |
 #14Vanderbilt | 4–2 | 8–2 | 5.1–2.9 | 0% | 0% | 24% |
 #22Missouri | 3–3 | 7–3 | 3.9–4.1 | 0% | 0% | 3% |
 #20Tennessee | 3–3 | 7–3 | 4.4–3.6 | 0% | 0% | 3% |
 LSU | 3–4 | 6–4 | 3.3–4.7 | 0% | 0% | <1% |
 Florida | 2–5 | 3–7 | 2.3–5.7 | 0% | 0% | 0% |
 Kentucky | 2–5 | 5–5 | 2.2–5.8 | 0% | 0% | <1% |
 Auburn | 1–6 | 4–6 | 1.2–6.8 | 0% | 0% | <1% |
 Mississippi State | 1–6 | 5–6 | 1.1–6.9 | 0% | 0% | 0% |
 South Carolina | 1–7 | 3–7 | 1.0–7.0 | 0% | 0% | <1% |
 Arkansas | 0–6 | 2–8 | 0.5–7.5 | 0% | 0% | <1% |
Based on 50,000 season simulations entering week 13, anchored to the Playoff Committee Rankings (week 13). How the model works.