The SEC race
16 teams · two title-game spots
In the books
WEEK 7 · 2025
15 teams are still alive for the two title-game spots.
Most likely championship game
how often each matchup comes up in the simsStandings & projections
records entering week 7; projections from the remaining schedule| Team | Conf | Overall | Proj. final | Title game | Champ | Playoff |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 #8Alabama | 2–0 | 4–1 | 6.6–1.4 | 68% | 34% | 77% |
 #4Ole Miss | 3–0 | 5–0 | 6.7–1.3 | 46% | 25% | 86% |
 #14Missouri | 1–0 | 5–0 | 4.9–3.1 | 9% | 3% | 15% |
 #5Texas A&M | 2–0 | 5–0 | 5.1–2.9 | 9% | 2% | 57% |
 #6Oklahoma | 1–0 | 5–0 | 3.9–4.1 | 5% | 1% | 50% |
 #10Georgia | 2–1 | 4–1 | 6.0–2.0 | 41% | 25% | 64% |
 #12Tennessee | 1–1 | 4–1 | 4.8–3.2 | 6% | 2% | 30% |
 #11LSU | 1–1 | 4–1 | 4.0–4.0 | 3% | <1% | 21% |
 #20Vanderbilt | 1–1 | 5–1 | 4.2–3.8 | 2% | <1% | 7% |
 Florida | 1–1 | 2–3 | 3.3–4.7 | <1% | <1% | 2% |
 South Carolina | 1–2 | 3–2 | 2.4–5.6 | <1% | <1% | 2% |
 Texas | 0–1 | 3–2 | 5.2–2.8 | 10% | 5% | 15% |
 Auburn | 0–2 | 3–2 | 2.5–5.5 | <1% | <1% | 2% |
 Arkansas | 0–1 | 2–3 | 2.5–5.5 | <1% | <1% | <1% |
 Kentucky | 0–3 | 2–3 | 1.1–6.9 | 0% | 0% | <1% |
 Mississippi State | 0–2 | 4–2 | 0.9–7.1 | <1% | 0% | <1% |
Based on 50,000 season simulations entering week 7, anchored to the AP Top 25 (week 7). How the model works.