The SEC race
16 teams · two title-game spots
In the books
WEEK 3 · 2025
16 teams are still alive for the two title-game spots.
Most likely championship game
how often each matchup comes up in the simsStandings & projections
records entering week 3; projections from the remaining schedule| Team | Conf | Overall | Proj. final | Title game | Champ | Playoff |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 #17Ole Miss | 1–0 | 2–0 | 6.2–1.8 | 37% | 15% | 41% |
 Kentucky | 0–1 | 1–1 | 1.6–6.4 | <1% | <1% | <1% |
 #6Georgia | 0–0 | 2–0 | 6.8–1.2 | 72% | 53% | 91% |
 #19Alabama | 0–0 | 1–1 | 5.6–2.4 | 32% | 13% | 38% |
 #7Texas | 0–0 | 1–1 | 5.9–2.1 | 25% | 10% | 68% |
 #15Tennessee | 0–0 | 2–0 | 5.1–2.9 | 12% | 4% | 21% |
 #16Texas A&M | 0–0 | 2–0 | 4.4–3.6 | 5% | 1% | 10% |
 #3LSU | 0–0 | 2–0 | 4.1–3.9 | 5% | 1% | 57% |
 #11South Carolina | 0–0 | 2–0 | 4.1–3.9 | 4% | 1% | 19% |
 #13Oklahoma | 0–0 | 2–0 | 3.0–5.0 | 2% | <1% | 8% |
 #25Missouri | 0–0 | 2–0 | 3.8–4.2 | 2% | <1% | 4% |
 Arkansas | 0–0 | 2–0 | 3.5–4.5 | 2% | <1% | 4% |
 #24Auburn | 0–0 | 2–0 | 3.4–4.6 | 2% | <1% | 4% |
 Florida | 0–0 | 1–1 | 3.0–5.0 | 1% | <1% | 4% |
 Vanderbilt | 0–0 | 2–0 | 2.6–5.4 | <1% | <1% | <1% |
 Mississippi State | 0–0 | 2–0 | 1.0–7.0 | <1% | <1% | <1% |
Based on 50,000 season simulations entering week 3, anchored to the AP Top 25 (week 3). How the model works.