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#10Alabama Crimson Tide

82 · 61 SEC
In the books
WEEK 13 · 2025
75%
SEC title game
33%
Win the SEC
51%
Make the playoff
11%
First-round bye
avg seed 6.9
How the week went: playoff odds 51%59% · title-game odds 75%77%.
Playoff odds by week

If Alabama wins out: 44% to win the SEC, 64% to make the playoff.

The Saturday rundown

ranked by what moves Alabama's path
Your game
TBD
Eastern Illinois at #10 Alabama

Your game. Just win — and don't let it get interesting.

Final · Eastern Illinois 056 AlabamaWish granted ✓
Just win
Big swingsthese move your odds the most
· NBC
Syracuse at #9 Notre Dame

Syracuse winning thins out the at-large competition for your playoff spot.

Final · Syracuse 770 Notre DameWent the other way ✗
Root for Syracuse+8.7 pp playoff odds
· ESPN
Kentucky at #14 Vanderbilt

SEC race: Kentucky losing helps your spot in the standings; you beat Vanderbilt — their wins make your résumé stronger.

Final · Kentucky 1745 VanderbiltWish granted ✓
Root for Vanderbilt+10.2 pp title-game odds
Worth a glancesmaller, but real
· FOX
Rutgers at #1 Ohio State

You're close to a playoff lock — the live question is the top-4 seed and first-round bye, and Rutgers winning protects it.

Final · Rutgers 942 Ohio StateWent the other way ✗
Root for Rutgers+5.3 pp first-round-bye odds
· ABC
#22 Missouri at #8 Oklahoma

You beat Missouri — their wins make your résumé stronger.

Final · Missouri 617 OklahomaWent the other way ✗
Root for Missouri+2.7 pp playoff odds
· ESPN
#13 Miami at Virginia Tech

Virginia Tech winning thins out the at-large competition for your playoff spot.

Final · Miami 3417 Virginia TechWent the other way ✗
Root for Virginia Tech+2.7 pp playoff odds
· ESPN2
Kansas State at #12 Utah

Kansas State winning thins out the at-large competition for your playoff spot.

Final · Kansas State 4751 UtahWent the other way ✗
Root for Kansas State+2.6 pp playoff odds
· ABC
#20 Tennessee at Florida

SEC race: Florida losing helps your spot in the standings; you beat Tennessee — their wins make your résumé stronger.

Final · Tennessee 3111 FloridaWish granted ✓
Root for Tennessee+3.1 pp title-game odds
53 more games that don't move your needle
BYU at Cincinnati · FOX
Arkansas at Texas · ABC
Akron at Bowling Green · ESPNU
Massachusetts at Ohio · CBSSN
Western Michigan at Northern Illinois · ESPN2
Miami (OH) at Buffalo · ESPN2
Central Michigan at Kent State · ESPNU
Louisiana at Arkansas State · ESPN
Florida State at NC State · ESPN
Hawai'i at UNLV · FS1
Minnesota at Northwestern · BTN
Louisville at SMU · ESPN2
Delaware at Wake Forest · ACC Network
Kansas at Iowa State · FS1
Tulsa at Army · CBSSN
Charlotte at Georgia · SEC Network
Washington State at James Madison · ESPN+
Baylor at Arizona · TNT
Old Dominion at Georgia Southern · ESPN+
Missouri State at Kennesaw State · ESPN+
Nevada at Wyoming
Ball State at Toledo · ESPN+
Marshall at App State · ESPN+
UConn at Florida Atlantic · ESPN+
Liberty at Louisiana Tech · ESPN+
Sam Houston at Middle Tennessee · ESPN+
New Mexico State at UTEP · ESPN+
South Florida at UAB · ESPN+
USC at Oregon · CBS
Michigan State at Iowa · FS1
Duke at North Carolina · ACC Network
Jacksonville State at Florida International · CBSSN
Southern Miss at South Alabama · ESPN+
East Carolina at UTSA · ESPN+
Tulane at Temple · ESPNU
Michigan at Maryland · BTN
TCU at Houston · FOX
Oklahoma State at UCF · ESPN+
Georgia State at Troy · ESPN+
Coastal Carolina at South Carolina · SEC Network
UL Monroe at Texas State · ESPN+
Nebraska at Penn State · NBC
Pittsburgh at Georgia Tech · ESPN
New Mexico at Air Force · CBSSN
Colorado State at Boise State · FS1
Illinois at Wisconsin · BTN
California at Stanford · ACC Network
North Texas at Rice · ESPNU
Western Kentucky at LSU · SEC Network
Arizona State at Colorado · ESPN2
Washington at UCLA · NBC
Utah State at Fresno State · CBSSN
San José State at San Diego State · FS1

Based on 50,000 season simulations entering week 13, anchored to the Playoff Committee Rankings (week 13). How the model works.