#10Texas Longhorns
7–2 · 4–1 SEC
In the books
WEEK 12 · 2025
9%
SEC title game
4%
Win the SEC
58%
Make the playoff
2%
First-round bye
avg seed 8.9
How the week went: playoff odds 58% → 0% · title-game odds 9% → 0%.
The Saturday rundown
ranked by what moves Texas's pathYour game
…
… · ABC
#10 Texas at #5 Georgia
Your game. Beat Georgia and your playoff odds are 86%; lose and they drop to 46%.
Final · Texas 10–35 GeorgiaWent the other way ✗
Just win
Big swingsthese move your odds the most
…
… · ABC
#11 Oklahoma at #4 Alabama
You already beat Oklahoma; them losing again keeps them behind you.
Final · Oklahoma 23–21 AlabamaWent the other way ✗
Root for Alabama+18.1 pp playoff odds
…
… · ABC
#9 Notre Dame at #22 Pittsburgh
Pittsburgh winning thins out the at-large competition for your playoff spot.
Final · Notre Dame 37–15 PittsburghWent the other way ✗
Root for Pittsburgh+11.3 pp playoff odds
…
… · ESPN
South Carolina at #3 Texas A&M
SEC race: Texas A&M losing helps your spot in the standings; you still play Texas A&M in week 14.
Final · South Carolina 30–31 Texas A&MWent the other way ✗
Root for South Carolina+12.5 pp title-game odds
…
… · ESPN2
#13 Utah at Baylor
Baylor winning thins out the at-large competition for your playoff spot.
Final · Utah 55–28 BaylorWent the other way ✗
Root for Baylor+7.7 pp playoff odds
…
… · ESPN
Florida at #7 Ole Miss
SEC race: Ole Miss losing helps your spot in the standings.
Final · Florida 24–34 Ole MissWent the other way ✗
Root for Florida+9.0 pp title-game odds
Worth a glancesmaller, but real
…
… · FOX
Minnesota at #8 Oregon
Minnesota winning thins out the at-large competition for your playoff spot.
Final · Minnesota 13–42 OregonWent the other way ✗
Root for Minnesota+4.3 pp playoff odds
…
… · SEC Network
Arkansas at LSU
Arkansas visits your schedule in week 13 — keep them ranked.
Final · Arkansas 22–23 LSUWent the other way ✗
Root for Arkansas+1.5 pp playoff odds
50 more games that don't move your needle
Kent State at Akron · ESPNU
Ohio at Western Michigan · ESPN2
Buffalo at Central Michigan · CBSSN
Northern Illinois at Massachusetts · ESPNU
Toledo at Miami (OH) · ESPN2
Troy at Old Dominion · ESPN
Clemson at Louisville · ESPN
Wisconsin at Indiana · BTN
Michigan at Northwestern · FOX
Arizona at Cincinnati · FS1
Kansas State at Oklahoma State · ESPNU
Air Force at UConn · CBSSN
UTSA at Charlotte · ESPN+
South Florida at Navy · ESPN2
Eastern Michigan at Ball State · ESPN+
Oregon State at Tulsa · The CW Network
West Virginia at Arizona State · truTV
Marshall at Georgia State · ESPN+
North Texas at UAB · ESPN+
UTEP at Missouri State · ESPN+
Colorado State at New Mexico
Penn State at Michigan State · CBS
Maryland at Illinois · FS1
Iowa at USC · BTN
Georgia Tech at Boston College · ACC Network
Virginia at Duke · ESPN2
NC State at Miami · ESPN
UCF at Texas Tech · FOX
Middle Tennessee at Western Kentucky · ESPN+
San José State at Nevada · CBSSN
App State at James Madison · ESPN+
South Alabama at UL Monroe · ESPN+
Texas State at Southern Miss · ESPN+
Memphis at East Carolina · ESPNU
Florida Atlantic at Tulane · ESPN+
New Mexico State at Tennessee · SEC Network
North Carolina at Wake Forest · The CW Network
Liberty at Florida International · ESPN+
Coastal Carolina at Georgia Southern · ESPN+
Purdue at Washington · FS1
Delaware at Sam Houston · ESPN+
Utah State at UNLV · CBSSN
UCLA at Ohio State · NBC
Virginia Tech at Florida State · ACC Network
Mississippi State at Missouri · SEC Network
Kennesaw State at Jacksonville State · ESPNU
Louisiana Tech at Washington State · The CW Network
TCU at BYU · ESPN
Boise State at San Diego State · CBSSN
Wyoming at Fresno State · FS1
Based on 50,000 season simulations entering week 12, anchored to the Playoff Committee Rankings (week 12).