The Sun Belt race
14 teams · two title-game spots
In the books
WEEK 8 · 2025
13 teams are still alive for the two title-game spots.
Most likely championship game
how often each matchup comes up in the simsStandings & projections
records entering week 8; projections from the remaining schedule| Team | Conf | Overall | Proj. final | Title game | Champ | Playoff |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 James Madison | 3–0 | 5–1 | 6.5–1.5 | 54% | 40% | 10% |
 Troy | 2–0 | 4–2 | 6.3–1.7 | 75% | 24% | <1% |
 Southern Miss | 2–0 | 4–2 | 4.4–3.6 | 10% | 1% | <1% |
 Coastal Carolina | 2–1 | 3–3 | 3.5–4.5 | <1% | <1% | 0% |
 Marshall | 1–1 | 3–3 | 5.5–2.5 | 30% | 21% | 4% |
 Old Dominion | 1–1 | 4–2 | 5.4–2.6 | 13% | 9% | 1% |
 Louisiana | 1–1 | 2–4 | 4.2–3.8 | 9% | 2% | <1% |
 App State | 1–1 | 4–2 | 3.8–4.2 | 2% | <1% | <1% |
 Arkansas State | 1–1 | 2–4 | 3.0–5.0 | 2% | <1% | 0% |
 UL Monroe | 1–1 | 3–3 | 1.8–6.2 | <1% | <1% | 0% |
 Texas State | 0–2 | 3–3 | 4.0–4.0 | 2% | 1% | <1% |
 South Alabama | 0–2 | 1–5 | 4.1–3.9 | 2% | <1% | <1% |
 Georgia Southern | 0–2 | 2–4 | 2.8–5.2 | <1% | <1% | <1% |
 Georgia State | 0–2 | 1–5 | 0.9–7.1 | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Based on 50,000 season simulations entering week 8, anchored to the AP Top 25 (week 8). How the model works.