The Sun Belt race
14 teams · two title-game spots
In the books
WEEK 14 · 2025
James Madison has clinched a spot in the title game; 2 teams are alive for the other.
Most likely championship game
how often each matchup comes up in the simsStandings & projections
records entering week 14; projections from the remaining schedule| Team | Conf | Overall | Proj. final | Title game | Champ | Playoff |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 James MadisonClinched | 7–0 | 10–1 | 8.0–0.0 | 100% | 95% | 31% |
 Troy | 5–2 | 7–4 | 5.5–2.5 | 48% | 3% | 0% |
 Southern Miss | 5–2 | 7–4 | 5.5–2.5 | 52% | 2% | 0% |
 Coastal Carolina | 5–2 | 6–5 | 5.0–3.0 | 0% | 0% | 0% |
 Old Dominion | 5–2 | 8–3 | 6.0–2.0 | 0% | 0% | 0% |
 Arkansas State | 4–3 | 5–6 | 4.5–3.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% |
 Louisiana | 4–3 | 5–6 | 4.9–3.1 | 0% | 0% | 0% |
 Georgia Southern | 3–4 | 5–6 | 3.1–4.9 | 0% | 0% | 0% |
 Marshall | 3–4 | 5–6 | 3.9–4.1 | 0% | 0% | 0% |
 South Alabama | 3–4 | 4–7 | 3.2–4.8 | 0% | 0% | 0% |
 App State | 2–5 | 5–6 | 2.5–5.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% |
 Texas State | 2–5 | 5–6 | 2.8–5.2 | 0% | 0% | 0% |
 UL Monroe | 1–6 | 3–8 | 1.1–6.9 | 0% | 0% | 0% |
 Georgia State | 0–7 | 1–10 | 0.0–8.0 | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Based on 50,000 season simulations entering week 14, anchored to the Playoff Committee Rankings (week 14). How the model works.