James Madison Dukes
10–1 · 7–0 SUN BELT
In the books
WEEK 14 · 2025
100%
Sun Belt title game
95%
Win the Sun Belt
31%
Make the playoff
0%
First-round bye
avg seed 11.8
James Madison has clinched a spot in the Sun Belt championship game.
How the week went: playoff odds 31% → 43%.
The Saturday rundown
ranked by what moves James Madison's pathYour game
…
… · ESPNU
James Madison at Coastal Carolina
Your game. Beat Coastal Carolina and your playoff odds are 33%; lose and they drop to 4%.
Final · James Madison 59–10 Coastal CarolinaWish granted ✓
Just win
Big swingsthese move your odds the most
…
… · ESPNU
Charlotte at #24 Tulane
Charlotte winning thins out the at-large competition for your playoff spot.
Final · Charlotte 0–27 TulaneWent the other way ✗
Root for Charlotte+10.3 pp playoff odds
…
… · ESPN2
#21 SMU at California
California winning thins out the at-large competition for your playoff spot.
Final · SMU 35–38 CaliforniaWish granted ✓
Root for California+5.3 pp playoff odds
Worth a glancesmaller, but real
…
… · NBC
UCLA at #17 USC
USC winning thins out the at-large competition for your playoff spot.
Final · UCLA 10–29 USCWish granted ✓
Root for USC+3.6 pp playoff odds
…
… · CBSSN
UNLV at Nevada
Nevada winning thins out the at-large competition for your playoff spot.
Final · UNLV 42–17 NevadaWent the other way ✗
Root for Nevada+2.4 pp playoff odds
…
… · CBSSN
Kent State at Northern Illinois
Kent State winning thins out the at-large competition for your playoff spot.
Final · Kent State 35–31 Northern IllinoisWish granted ✓
Root for Kent State+2.1 pp playoff odds
…
… · ESPN2
UCF at #11 BYU
UCF winning thins out the at-large competition for your playoff spot.
Final · UCF 21–41 BYUWent the other way ✗
Root for UCF+2.1 pp playoff odds
…
… · ESPNU
Ohio at Buffalo
Ohio winning thins out the at-large competition for your playoff spot.
Final · Ohio 31–26 BuffaloWish granted ✓
Root for Ohio+1.4 pp playoff odds
…
… · ACC Network
North Carolina at NC State
North Carolina winning thins out the at-large competition for your playoff spot.
Final · North Carolina 19–42 NC StateWent the other way ✗
Root for North Carolina+1.3 pp playoff odds
58 more games that don't move your needle
Miami at Pittsburgh · ABC
Boise State at Utah State · CBS
Bowling Green at Massachusetts · ESPNU
Western Michigan at Eastern Michigan · ESPN2
Navy at Memphis · ESPN
Ole Miss at Mississippi State · ABC
Iowa at Nebraska · CBS
Utah at Kansas · ESPN
Air Force at Colorado State · FS1
Georgia at Georgia Tech · ABC
San Diego State at New Mexico · CBSSN
Temple at North Texas · ESPN
Texas A&M at Texas · ABC
Indiana at Purdue · NBC
Arizona at Arizona State · FOX
Kentucky at Louisville · ACC Network
Clemson at South Carolina · SEC Network
Ohio State at Michigan · FOX
Houston at Baylor · TNT
Colorado at Kansas State · FS1
Iowa State at Oklahoma State · ESPNU
Texas Tech at West Virginia · ESPN
East Carolina at Florida Atlantic · ESPN+
Toledo at Central Michigan · ESPN+
Ball State at Miami (OH) · CBSSN
UTEP at Delaware · ESPN+
Florida International at Sam Houston · ESPN+
Georgia Southern at Marshall · ESPN+
Western Kentucky at Jacksonville State · ESPN+
Louisiana Tech at Missouri State · ESPN+
Georgia State at Old Dominion · ESPN+
Arkansas State at App State · ESPN+
Boston College at Syracuse · The CW Network
Middle Tennessee at New Mexico State · ESPN+
UL Monroe at Louisiana · ESPN+
South Alabama at Texas State · ESPN+
UAB at Tulsa · ESPN+
Missouri at Arkansas · SEC Network
LSU at Oklahoma · ABC
Vanderbilt at Tennessee · ESPN
Oregon at Washington · CBS
Wisconsin at Minnesota · FS1
Penn State at Rutgers · BTN
Wake Forest at Duke · ACC Network
Cincinnati at TCU · FOX
Kennesaw State at Liberty · CBSSN
Troy at Southern Miss · ESPN+
Army at UTSA · ESPN+
Florida State at Florida · ESPN2
Oregon State at Washington State · The CW Network
Maryland at Michigan State · FS1
Virginia Tech at Virginia · ESPN
Rice at South Florida · ESPN+
Alabama at Auburn · ABC
Northwestern at Illinois · FOX
Notre Dame at Stanford · ESPN
Fresno State at San José State · FS1
Wyoming at Hawai'i
Based on 50,000 season simulations entering week 14, anchored to the Playoff Committee Rankings (week 14). How the model works.