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James Madison Dukes

7–1 · 5–0 SUN BELT
In the books
WEEK 11 · 2025
95%
Sun Belt title game
86%
Win the Sun Belt
35%
Make the playoff
0%
First-round bye
avg seed 11.6
How the week went: playoff odds 35% → 35% · title-game odds 95% → 96%.
Playoff odds by week
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If James Madison wins out: 91% to win the Sun Belt, 51% to make the playoff.

The Saturday rundown

ranked by what moves James Madison's path
Your game
…
… · ESPN2
James Madison at Marshall

Your game. Beat Marshall and your playoff odds are 43%; lose and they drop to 12%.

Final · James Madison 35–23 MarshallWish granted ✓
Just win
Worth a glancesmaller, but real
…
… · ESPN
Tulane at Memphis

Tulane winning thins out the at-large competition for your playoff spot.

Final · Tulane 38–32 MemphisWish granted ✓
Root for Tulane+3.6 pp playoff odds
…
… · ESPN+
Georgia State at Coastal Carolina

Sun Belt race: Coastal Carolina losing helps your spot in the standings; you beat Georgia State — their wins make your résumé stronger; you still play Coastal Carolina in week 14.

Final · Georgia State 27–40 Coastal CarolinaWent the other way ✗
Root for Georgia State+4.0 pp title-game odds
…
… · ESPN2
Georgia Southern at App State

You already beat Georgia Southern; them losing again keeps them behind you; App State visits your schedule in week 12 — keep them ranked.

Final · Georgia Southern 25–23 App StateWent the other way ✗
Root for App State+2.1 pp playoff odds
…
… · ESPN
UTSA at South Florida

UTSA winning thins out the at-large competition for your playoff spot.

Final · UTSA 23–55 South FloridaWent the other way ✗
Root for UTSA+2.0 pp playoff odds
…
… · CBSSN
Duke at UConn

UConn winning thins out the at-large competition for your playoff spot.

Final · Duke 34–37 UConnWish granted ✓
Root for UConn+1.8 pp playoff odds
…
…
San Diego State at Hawai'i

Hawai'i winning thins out the at-large competition for your playoff spot.

Final · San Diego State 6–38 Hawai'iWish granted ✓
Root for Hawai'i+1.7 pp playoff odds
44 more games that don't move your needle
Massachusetts at Akron · CBSSN
Miami (OH) at Ohio · ESPN2
Kent State at Ball State · ESPNU
Northern Illinois at Toledo · ESPN2
Houston at UCF · FS1
Northwestern at USC · FOX
Georgia at Mississippi State · ESPN
Indiana at Penn State · FOX
SMU at Boston College · ACC Network
BYU at Texas Tech · ABC
Colorado at West Virginia · TNT
Southern Miss at Arkansas State · ESPNU
Temple at Army · CBSSN
Ohio State at Purdue · BTN
Missouri State at Liberty · ESPN+
Bowling Green at Eastern Michigan · ESPN+
UAB at Rice · ESPN+
Maryland at Rutgers · FS1
Louisiana Tech at Delaware · ESPN+
Florida International at Middle Tennessee · ESPN+
Jacksonville State at UTEP · ESPN+
Charlotte at East Carolina · ESPN+
Tulsa at Florida Atlantic · ESPN+
Texas A&M at Missouri · ABC
Oregon at Iowa · CBS
Syracuse at Miami · ESPN
Kansas at Arizona · ESPN2
Iowa State at TCU · FOX
Auburn at Vanderbilt · SEC Network
Kennesaw State at New Mexico State · ESPN+
Washington at Wisconsin · BTN
Stanford at North Carolina · The CW Network
Texas State at Louisiana · ESPN+
Air Force at San José State · FS1
California at Louisville · ESPN2
Florida State at Clemson · ACC Network
Wake Forest at Virginia · ESPN
LSU at Alabama · ABC
Florida at Kentucky · SEC Network
Navy at Notre Dame · NBC
Nevada at Utah State · CBSSN
Nebraska at UCLA · FOX
UNLV at Colorado State · FS1
Sam Houston at Oregon State · The CW Network

Based on 50,000 season simulations entering week 11, anchored to the Playoff Committee Rankings (week 11). How the model works.