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#13Miami Hurricanes

8–2 · 4–2 ACC
In the books
WEEK 13 · 2025
8%
ACC title game
7%
Win the ACC
39%
Make the playoff
2%
First-round bye
avg seed 8.1
How the week went: playoff odds 39% → 33% · title-game odds 8% → 11%.
Playoff odds by week
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If Miami wins out: 10% to win the ACC, 56% to make the playoff.

The Saturday rundown

ranked by what moves Miami's path
Your game
…
… · ESPN
#13 Miami at Virginia Tech

Your game. Beat Virginia Tech and your playoff odds are 42%; lose and they drop to 6%.

Final · Miami 34–17 Virginia TechWish granted ✓
Just win
Big swingsthese move your odds the most
…
… · ESPN
Pittsburgh at #16 Georgia Tech

ACC race: Georgia Tech losing helps your spot in the standings; Pittsburgh visits your schedule in week 14 — keep them ranked.

Final · Pittsburgh 42–28 Georgia TechWish granted ✓
Root for Pittsburgh+14.9 pp title-game odds
…
… · NBC
Syracuse at #9 Notre Dame

You beat Syracuse — their wins make your résumé stronger.

Final · Syracuse 7–70 Notre DameWent the other way ✗
Root for Syracuse+8.4 pp playoff odds
…
… · ESPN2
Louisville at SMU

ACC race: SMU losing helps your spot in the standings; SMU losing softens the sting of your loss to them.

Final · Louisville 6–38 SMUWent the other way ✗
Root for Louisville+11.8 pp title-game odds
…
… · ACC Network
Duke at North Carolina

ACC race: Duke losing helps your spot in the standings.

Final · Duke 32–25 North CarolinaWent the other way ✗
Root for North Carolina+9.9 pp title-game odds
Worth a glancesmaller, but real
…
… · ESPN2
Kansas State at #12 Utah

Kansas State winning thins out the at-large competition for your playoff spot.

Final · Kansas State 47–51 UtahWent the other way ✗
Root for Kansas State+3.8 pp playoff odds
…
… · ABC
#22 Missouri at #8 Oklahoma

Missouri winning thins out the at-large competition for your playoff spot.

Final · Missouri 6–17 OklahomaWent the other way ✗
Root for Missouri+3.7 pp playoff odds
…
… · ESPN
Kentucky at #14 Vanderbilt

Kentucky winning thins out the at-large competition for your playoff spot.

Final · Kentucky 17–45 VanderbiltWent the other way ✗
Root for Kentucky+2.3 pp playoff odds
…
… · ACC Network
California at Stanford

ACC race: California losing helps your spot in the standings; you beat Stanford — their wins make your résumé stronger.

Final · California 10–31 StanfordWish granted ✓
Root for Stanford+3.5 pp title-game odds
…
… · FOX
#11 BYU at Cincinnati

Cincinnati winning thins out the at-large competition for your playoff spot.

Final · BYU 26–14 CincinnatiWent the other way ✗
Root for Cincinnati+1.4 pp playoff odds
50 more games that don't move your needle
Akron at Bowling Green · ESPNU
Massachusetts at Ohio · CBSSN
Western Michigan at Northern Illinois · ESPN2
Miami (OH) at Buffalo · ESPN2
Central Michigan at Kent State · ESPNU
Louisiana at Arkansas State · ESPN
Florida State at NC State · ESPN
Hawai'i at UNLV · FS1
Minnesota at Northwestern · BTN
Rutgers at Ohio State · FOX
Delaware at Wake Forest · ACC Network
Kansas at Iowa State · FS1
Tulsa at Army · CBSSN
Charlotte at Georgia · SEC Network
Washington State at James Madison · ESPN+
Baylor at Arizona · TNT
Old Dominion at Georgia Southern · ESPN+
Missouri State at Kennesaw State · ESPN+
Nevada at Wyoming
Ball State at Toledo · ESPN+
Marshall at App State · ESPN+
UConn at Florida Atlantic · ESPN+
Liberty at Louisiana Tech · ESPN+
Sam Houston at Middle Tennessee · ESPN+
New Mexico State at UTEP · ESPN+
South Florida at UAB · ESPN+
Arkansas at Texas · ABC
USC at Oregon · CBS
Michigan State at Iowa · FS1
Jacksonville State at Florida International · CBSSN
Southern Miss at South Alabama · ESPN+
East Carolina at UTSA · ESPN+
Tulane at Temple · ESPNU
Michigan at Maryland · BTN
TCU at Houston · FOX
Oklahoma State at UCF · ESPN+
Georgia State at Troy · ESPN+
Coastal Carolina at South Carolina · SEC Network
UL Monroe at Texas State · ESPN+
Nebraska at Penn State · NBC
New Mexico at Air Force · CBSSN
Colorado State at Boise State · FS1
Tennessee at Florida · ABC
Illinois at Wisconsin · BTN
North Texas at Rice · ESPNU
Western Kentucky at LSU · SEC Network
Arizona State at Colorado · ESPN2
Washington at UCLA · NBC
Utah State at Fresno State · CBSSN
San José State at San Diego State · FS1

Based on 50,000 season simulations entering week 13, anchored to the Playoff Committee Rankings (week 13). How the model works.