#13Miami Hurricanes

8–2 · 4–2 ACC

In the books

WEEK 13 · 2025

The Week 13 recap

Miami beat Virginia Tech. Playoff odds moved from 39% to 33%.

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ESPN

Final

Miami

Final · Miami 34–17 Virginia TechWish granted ✓

Virginia Tech

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ESPN

Impact 1

Rooted for

Pittsburgh

at

Georgia Tech

Final · Pittsburgh 42–28 Georgia TechWish granted ✓

Projected 14.9-point title-game boost

Georgia Tech lost, improving Miami's place in the ACC standings.

Entering-week projection16% if Pittsburgh won1% with the other result15-point differenceMiami ACC title-game chance

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NBC

Impact 2

Rooted for

Syracuse

at

Notre Dame

Final · Syracuse 7–70 Notre DameWent the other way ✗

Projected 8.4-point playoff boost

Notre Dame won instead, so Miami did not get the result it wanted.

Entering-week projection47% if Syracuse won39% with the other result8.4-point differenceMiami playoff chance

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ESPN2

Impact 3

Rooted for

Louisville

at

SMU

Final · Louisville 6–38 SMUWent the other way ✗

Projected 11.8-point title-game boost

SMU won instead, so Miami did not get the result it wanted.

Entering-week projection17% if Louisville won5% with the other result12-point differenceMiami ACC title-game chance

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ACC Network

Impact 4

Duke

at

Rooted for

North Carolina

Final · Duke 32–25 North CarolinaWent the other way ✗

Projected 9.9-point title-game boost

Duke won instead, so Miami did not get the result it wanted.

Entering-week projection15% if North Carolina won5% with the other result9.9-point differenceMiami ACC title-game chance

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ESPN2

Impact 5

Rooted for

Kansas State

at

Utah

Final · Kansas State 47–51 UtahWent the other way ✗

Projected 3.8-point playoff boost

Utah won instead, so Miami did not get the result it wanted.

Entering-week projection42% if Kansas State won38% with the other result3.8-point differenceMiami playoff chance

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ABC

Impact 6

Rooted for

Missouri

at

Oklahoma

Final · Missouri 6–17 OklahomaWent the other way ✗

Projected 3.7-point playoff boost

Oklahoma won instead, so Miami did not get the result it wanted.

Entering-week projection41% if Missouri won38% with the other result3.7-point differenceMiami playoff chance

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ESPN

Impact 7

Rooted for

Kentucky

at

Vanderbilt

Final · Kentucky 17–45 VanderbiltWent the other way ✗

Projected 2.3-point playoff boost

Vanderbilt won instead, so Miami did not get the result it wanted.

Entering-week projection41% if Kentucky won38% with the other result2.3-point differenceMiami playoff chance

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ACC Network

Impact 8

California

at

Rooted for

Stanford

Final · California 10–31 StanfordWish granted ✓

Projected 3.5-point title-game boost

California lost, improving Miami's place in the ACC standings.

Entering-week projection10% if Stanford won7% with the other result3.5-point differenceMiami ACC title-game chance

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FOX

Impact 9

BYU

at

Rooted for

Cincinnati

Final · BYU 26–14 CincinnatiWent the other way ✗

Projected 1.4-point playoff boost

BYU won instead, so Miami did not get the result it wanted.

Entering-week projection40% if Cincinnati won38% with the other result1.4-point differenceMiami playoff chance

50 other games had little impact

Akron at Bowling Green · ESPNU

Massachusetts at Ohio · CBSSN

Western Michigan at Northern Illinois · ESPN2

Miami (OH) at Buffalo · ESPN2

Central Michigan at Kent State · ESPNU

Louisiana at Arkansas State · ESPN

Florida State at NC State · ESPN

Hawai'i at UNLV · FS1

Minnesota at Northwestern · BTN

Rutgers at Ohio State · FOX

Delaware at Wake Forest · ACC Network

Kansas at Iowa State · FS1

Tulsa at Army · CBSSN

Charlotte at Georgia · SEC Network

Washington State at James Madison · ESPN+

Baylor at Arizona · TNT

Old Dominion at Georgia Southern · ESPN+

Missouri State at Kennesaw State · ESPN+

Nevada at Wyoming

Ball State at Toledo · ESPN+

Marshall at App State · ESPN+

UConn at Florida Atlantic · ESPN+

Liberty at Louisiana Tech · ESPN+

Sam Houston at Middle Tennessee · ESPN+

New Mexico State at UTEP · ESPN+

South Florida at UAB · ESPN+

Arkansas at Texas · ABC

USC at Oregon · CBS

Michigan State at Iowa · FS1

Jacksonville State at Florida International · CBSSN

Southern Miss at South Alabama · ESPN+

East Carolina at UTSA · ESPN+

Tulane at Temple · ESPNU

Michigan at Maryland · BTN

TCU at Houston · FOX

Oklahoma State at UCF · ESPN+

Georgia State at Troy · ESPN+

Coastal Carolina at South Carolina · SEC Network

UL Monroe at Texas State · ESPN+

Nebraska at Penn State · NBC

New Mexico at Air Force · CBSSN

Colorado State at Boise State · FS1

Tennessee at Florida · ABC

Illinois at Wisconsin · BTN

North Texas at Rice · ESPNU

Western Kentucky at LSU · SEC Network

Arizona State at Colorado · ESPN2

Washington at UCLA · NBC

Utah State at Fresno State · CBSSN

San José State at San Diego State · FS1

Based on 50,000 season simulations entering week 13, anchored to the Playoff Committee Rankings (week 13). How the model works.