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#15Miami Hurricanes

7–2 · 3–2 ACC
In the books
WEEK 12 · 2025
6%
ACC title game
4%
Win the ACC
25%
Make the playoff
<1%
First-round bye
avg seed 8.3
How the week went: playoff odds 25% → 39% · title-game odds 6% → 8%.
Playoff odds by week
123456789101112

If Miami wins out: 8% to win the ACC, 44% to make the playoff.

The Saturday rundown

ranked by what moves Miami's path
Your game
…
… · ESPN
NC State at #15 Miami

Your game. Beat NC State and your playoff odds are 27%; lose and they drop to 3%.

Final · NC State 7–41 MiamiWish granted ✓
Just win
Big swingsthese move your odds the most
…
… · ABC
#9 Notre Dame at #22 Pittsburgh

You already beat Notre Dame; them losing again keeps them behind you; Pittsburgh visits your schedule in week 14 — keep them ranked.

Final · Notre Dame 37–15 PittsburghWent the other way ✗
Root for Pittsburgh+6.8 pp playoff odds
Worth a glancesmaller, but real
…
… · ESPN
Florida at #7 Ole Miss

You beat Florida — their wins make your résumé stronger.

Final · Florida 24–34 Ole MissWent the other way ✗
Root for Florida+4.1 pp playoff odds
…
… · ESPN2
#13 Utah at Baylor

Baylor winning thins out the at-large competition for your playoff spot.

Final · Utah 55–28 BaylorWent the other way ✗
Root for Baylor+3.1 pp playoff odds
…
… · ACC Network
#16 Georgia Tech at Boston College

ACC race: Georgia Tech losing helps your spot in the standings.

Final · Georgia Tech 36–34 Boston CollegeWent the other way ✗
Root for Boston College+4.6 pp title-game odds
…
… · ESPN
TCU at #12 BYU

TCU winning thins out the at-large competition for your playoff spot.

Final · TCU 13–44 BYUWent the other way ✗
Root for TCU+2.9 pp playoff odds
…
… · ESPN
South Carolina at #3 Texas A&M

South Carolina winning thins out the at-large competition for your playoff spot.

Final · South Carolina 30–31 Texas A&MWent the other way ✗
Root for South Carolina+1.7 pp playoff odds
…
… · ABC
#11 Oklahoma at #4 Alabama

Alabama winning thins out the at-large competition for your playoff spot.

Final · Oklahoma 23–21 AlabamaWent the other way ✗
Root for Alabama+1.5 pp playoff odds
…
… · ACC Network
Virginia Tech at Florida State

You already beat Florida State; them losing again keeps them behind you; Virginia Tech visits your schedule in week 13 — keep them ranked.

Final · Virginia Tech 14–34 Florida StateWent the other way ✗
Root for Virginia Tech+1.3 pp playoff odds
49 more games that don't move your needle
Virginia at Duke · ESPN2
Kent State at Akron · ESPNU
Ohio at Western Michigan · ESPN2
Buffalo at Central Michigan · CBSSN
Northern Illinois at Massachusetts · ESPNU
Toledo at Miami (OH) · ESPN2
Troy at Old Dominion · ESPN
Clemson at Louisville · ESPN
Minnesota at Oregon · FOX
Wisconsin at Indiana · BTN
Michigan at Northwestern · FOX
Arizona at Cincinnati · FS1
Kansas State at Oklahoma State · ESPNU
Air Force at UConn · CBSSN
UTSA at Charlotte · ESPN+
South Florida at Navy · ESPN2
Eastern Michigan at Ball State · ESPN+
Arkansas at LSU · SEC Network
Oregon State at Tulsa · The CW Network
West Virginia at Arizona State · truTV
Marshall at Georgia State · ESPN+
North Texas at UAB · ESPN+
UTEP at Missouri State · ESPN+
Colorado State at New Mexico
Penn State at Michigan State · CBS
Maryland at Illinois · FS1
Iowa at USC · BTN
UCF at Texas Tech · FOX
Middle Tennessee at Western Kentucky · ESPN+
San José State at Nevada · CBSSN
App State at James Madison · ESPN+
South Alabama at UL Monroe · ESPN+
Texas State at Southern Miss · ESPN+
Memphis at East Carolina · ESPNU
Florida Atlantic at Tulane · ESPN+
New Mexico State at Tennessee · SEC Network
North Carolina at Wake Forest · The CW Network
Liberty at Florida International · ESPN+
Coastal Carolina at Georgia Southern · ESPN+
Purdue at Washington · FS1
Delaware at Sam Houston · ESPN+
Utah State at UNLV · CBSSN
Texas at Georgia · ABC
UCLA at Ohio State · NBC
Mississippi State at Missouri · SEC Network
Kennesaw State at Jacksonville State · ESPNU
Louisiana Tech at Washington State · The CW Network
Boise State at San Diego State · CBSSN
Wyoming at Fresno State · FS1

Based on 50,000 season simulations entering week 12, anchored to the Playoff Committee Rankings (week 12). How the model works.