The CFP race

12 teams with the highest individual playoff chances. This is not a projected field or bracket.

TeamMake CFP

#1Ohio State12–0100%#2Indiana12–0>99%#3Georgia11–1>99%#5Oregon11–197%#4Texas Tech11–196%#6Ole Miss11–190%#7Texas A&M11–162%#24North Texas11–160%#8Oklahoma10–257%#9Alabama10–257%#10Notre Dame10–253%#17Virginia10–253%

#7Texas A&M11–1 · SEC▼ −38pp62%

#24North Texas11–1 · American Athletic▲ +20pp60%

#8Oklahoma10–2 · SEC▼ −8pp57%

#9Alabama10–2 · SEC▼ −2pp57%

#10Notre Dame10–2 · FBS Independents▼ −14pp53%

#17Virginia10–2 · ACC▲ +30pp53%

#11BYU11–1 · Big 12▲ +13pp47%

#25James Madison11–1 · Sun Belt▲ +11pp43%

#12Miami10–2 · ACC▲ +8pp42%

#13Texas9–3 · SEC▲ +19pp39%

#20Tulane10–2 · American Athletic▲ +5pp27%

#14Vanderbilt10–2 · SEC▼ −5pp19%

#15Utah10–2 · Big 12▼ −13pp15%

No game this week moves the national race.

Based on 50,000 season simulations entering week 15, anchored to the Playoff Committee Rankings (week 15). How the model works.