#17Virginia Cavaliers
10–2 · 7–1 ACC
In the books
WEEK 15 · 2025
The Week 15 recap
Virginia lost to Duke. Playoff odds moved from 53% to 2%.
Virginia reaches the ACC championship game in every simulation.
Your game
Duke at VirginiaFinal
Duke
Final · Duke 27–20 VirginiaWent the other way ✗
Virginia
Nothing else moves the path
the rest is background footballNothing else meaningfully changes Virginia's path. Watch the rest because it is football.
The rooting list was:Virginia. Nothing else meaningfully moves the path.
Based on 50,000 season simulations entering week 15, anchored to the Playoff Committee Rankings (week 15). How the model works.