#14Virginia Cavaliers
8–1 · 5–0 ACC
In the books
WEEK 11 · 2025
70%
ACC title game
24%
Win the ACC
24%
Make the playoff
0%
First-round bye
avg seed 10.9
How the week went: playoff odds 24% → 10% · title-game odds 70% → 30%.
The Saturday rundown
ranked by what moves Virginia's pathYour game
…
… · ESPN
Wake Forest at #14 Virginia
Your game. Beat Wake Forest and your playoff odds are 28%; lose and they drop to 9%.
Final · Wake Forest 16–9 VirginiaWent the other way ✗
Just win
Worth a glancesmaller, but real
…
… · ESPN2
California at #15 Louisville
You beat California — their wins make your résumé stronger.
Final · California 29–26 LouisvilleWish granted ✓
Root for California+4.0 pp playoff odds
…
… · ACC Network
Florida State at Clemson
ACC race: Clemson losing helps your spot in the standings; you beat Florida State — their wins make your résumé stronger.
Final · Florida State 10–24 ClemsonWent the other way ✗
Root for Florida State+6.0 pp title-game odds
…
… · CBSSN
Duke at UConn
You still play Duke in week 12.
Final · Duke 34–37 UConnWish granted ✓
Root for UConn+1.5 pp playoff odds
47 more games that don't move your needle
Massachusetts at Akron · CBSSN
Miami (OH) at Ohio · ESPN2
Kent State at Ball State · ESPNU
Northern Illinois at Toledo · ESPN2
Georgia Southern at App State · ESPN2
UTSA at South Florida · ESPN
Houston at UCF · FS1
Northwestern at USC · FOX
Tulane at Memphis · ESPN
Georgia at Mississippi State · ESPN
Indiana at Penn State · FOX
SMU at Boston College · ACC Network
BYU at Texas Tech · ABC
Colorado at West Virginia · TNT
James Madison at Marshall · ESPN2
Southern Miss at Arkansas State · ESPNU
Temple at Army · CBSSN
Ohio State at Purdue · BTN
Missouri State at Liberty · ESPN+
Bowling Green at Eastern Michigan · ESPN+
UAB at Rice · ESPN+
Maryland at Rutgers · FS1
Louisiana Tech at Delaware · ESPN+
Florida International at Middle Tennessee · ESPN+
Jacksonville State at UTEP · ESPN+
Charlotte at East Carolina · ESPN+
Tulsa at Florida Atlantic · ESPN+
Texas A&M at Missouri · ABC
Oregon at Iowa · CBS
Syracuse at Miami · ESPN
Kansas at Arizona · ESPN2
Iowa State at TCU · FOX
Auburn at Vanderbilt · SEC Network
Kennesaw State at New Mexico State · ESPN+
Georgia State at Coastal Carolina · ESPN+
Washington at Wisconsin · BTN
Stanford at North Carolina · The CW Network
Texas State at Louisiana · ESPN+
Air Force at San José State · FS1
LSU at Alabama · ABC
Florida at Kentucky · SEC Network
Navy at Notre Dame · NBC
Nevada at Utah State · CBSSN
Nebraska at UCLA · FOX
UNLV at Colorado State · FS1
Sam Houston at Oregon State · The CW Network
San Diego State at Hawai'i
Based on 50,000 season simulations entering week 11, anchored to the Playoff Committee Rankings (week 11).