#19Virginia Cavaliers
8–2 · 5–1 ACC
In the books
WEEK 12 · 2025
29%
ACC title game
10%
Win the ACC
10%
Make the playoff
<1%
First-round bye
avg seed 9.6
How the week went: playoff odds 10% → 30% · title-game odds 29% → 81%.
The Saturday rundown
ranked by what moves Virginia's pathYour game
…
… · ESPN2
#19 Virginia at Duke
Your game. Beat Duke and your playoff odds are 28%; lose and they drop to 2%.
Final · Virginia 34–17 DukeWish granted ✓
Just win
Worth a glancesmaller, but real
…
… · ACC Network
#16 Georgia Tech at Boston College
ACC race: Georgia Tech losing helps your spot in the standings.
Final · Georgia Tech 36–34 Boston CollegeWent the other way ✗
Root for Boston College+7.7 pp title-game odds
…
… · ESPN
Clemson at #20 Louisville
ACC race: Louisville losing helps your spot in the standings; you already beat Louisville; them losing again keeps them behind you.
Final · Clemson 20–19 LouisvilleWish granted ✓
Root for Clemson+2.0 pp title-game odds
55 more games that don't move your needle
Virginia Tech at Florida State · ACC Network
Kent State at Akron · ESPNU
Ohio at Western Michigan · ESPN2
Buffalo at Central Michigan · CBSSN
Northern Illinois at Massachusetts · ESPNU
Toledo at Miami (OH) · ESPN2
Troy at Old Dominion · ESPN
Minnesota at Oregon · FOX
South Carolina at Texas A&M · ESPN
Wisconsin at Indiana · BTN
Michigan at Northwestern · FOX
Notre Dame at Pittsburgh · ABC
Arizona at Cincinnati · FS1
Kansas State at Oklahoma State · ESPNU
Air Force at UConn · CBSSN
UTSA at Charlotte · ESPN+
South Florida at Navy · ESPN2
Eastern Michigan at Ball State · ESPN+
Arkansas at LSU · SEC Network
Oregon State at Tulsa · The CW Network
West Virginia at Arizona State · truTV
Marshall at Georgia State · ESPN+
North Texas at UAB · ESPN+
UTEP at Missouri State · ESPN+
Colorado State at New Mexico
Oklahoma at Alabama · ABC
Penn State at Michigan State · CBS
Maryland at Illinois · FS1
Iowa at USC · BTN
NC State at Miami · ESPN
UCF at Texas Tech · FOX
Middle Tennessee at Western Kentucky · ESPN+
San José State at Nevada · CBSSN
App State at James Madison · ESPN+
South Alabama at UL Monroe · ESPN+
Texas State at Southern Miss · ESPN+
Memphis at East Carolina · ESPNU
Florida Atlantic at Tulane · ESPN+
New Mexico State at Tennessee · SEC Network
North Carolina at Wake Forest · The CW Network
Liberty at Florida International · ESPN+
Coastal Carolina at Georgia Southern · ESPN+
Florida at Ole Miss · ESPN
Purdue at Washington · FS1
Utah at Baylor · ESPN2
Delaware at Sam Houston · ESPN+
Utah State at UNLV · CBSSN
Texas at Georgia · ABC
UCLA at Ohio State · NBC
Mississippi State at Missouri · SEC Network
Kennesaw State at Jacksonville State · ESPNU
Louisiana Tech at Washington State · The CW Network
TCU at BYU · ESPN
Boise State at San Diego State · CBSSN
Wyoming at Fresno State · FS1
Based on 50,000 season simulations entering week 12, anchored to the Playoff Committee Rankings (week 12). How the model works.