#5Oregon Ducks
11–1 · 8–1 BIG TEN
In the books
WEEK 15 · 2025
The Week 15 recap
Oregon was off. Playoff odds moved from 97% to 99%.
The model sees the Big Ten title as an extreme long shot, so the likelier playoff path is an at-large bid.
Nothing else moves the path
the rest is background footballNothing else meaningfully changes Oregon's path. Watch the rest because it is football.
The rooting list was:Oregon is off. Nothing else meaningfully moves the path.
Based on 50,000 season simulations entering week 15, anchored to the Playoff Committee Rankings (week 15). How the model works.