#10Notre Dame Fighting Irish

10–2 · 0–0 FBS INDEPENDENTS

In the books

WEEK 15 · 2025

Independent title game

Win the Independent

93%

Make the playoff

First-round bye

avg seed 9.5

The FBS Independents title is out of reach — the playoff path runs through an at-large bid.

How the week went: playoff odds 93% → 0%.

Playoff odds by week

If Notre Dame wins out: 0% to win the Independent, 93% to make the playoff.

The Saturday rundown

ranked by what moves Notre Dame's path

No other game this week meaningfully moves Notre Dame's odds. Enjoy the football.

Based on 50,000 season simulations entering week 15, anchored to the Playoff Committee Rankings (week 15).