#21Notre Dame Fighting Irish
2–2 · 0–0 FBS INDEPENDENTS
In the books
WEEK 6 · 2025
0%
Independent title game
0%
Win the Independent
60%
Make the playoff
5%
First-round bye
avg seed 7.7
The FBS Independents title is out of reach — the playoff path runs through an at-large bid.
How the week went: playoff odds 60% → 65%.
The Saturday rundown
ranked by what moves Notre Dame's pathYour game
…
… · NBC
Boise State at #21 Notre Dame
Your game. Beat Boise State and your playoff odds are 61%; lose and they drop to 19%.
Final · Boise State 7–28 Notre DameWish granted ✓
Just win
Worth a glancesmaller, but real
…
… · SEC Network
Mississippi State at #6 Texas A&M
Texas A&M losing softens the sting of your loss to them.
Final · Mississippi State 9–31 Texas A&MWent the other way ✗
Root for Mississippi State+2.5 pp playoff odds
…
… · ESPN
#9 Texas at Florida
Florida winning thins out the at-large competition for your playoff spot.
Final · Texas 21–29 FloridaWish granted ✓
Root for Florida+1.4 pp playoff odds
47 more games that don't move your needle
Penn State at UCLA · CBS
Sam Houston at New Mexico State · CBSSN
Western Kentucky at Delaware · CBSSN
Charlotte at South Florida · ESPN2
New Mexico at San José State · FS1
West Virginia at BYU · ESPN
Colorado State at San Diego State · CBSSN
Kentucky at Georgia · ABC
Wisconsin at Michigan · FOX
Illinois at Purdue · BTN
Boston College at Pittsburgh · ACC Network
Clemson at North Carolina · ESPN
Kansas State at Baylor · ESPN+
Iowa State at Cincinnati · ESPN2
Air Force at Navy · CBS
Army at UAB · ESPNU
Ohio at Ball State · CBSSN
Wake Forest at Virginia Tech · The CW Network
UTSA at Temple · ESPN+
Western Michigan at Massachusetts · ESPN+
Oklahoma State at Arizona · truTV
Vanderbilt at Alabama · ABC
Washington at Maryland · BTN
UL Monroe at Northwestern · BTN
Oregon State at App State · ESPN+
Virginia at Louisville · ESPN2
Syracuse at SMU · ACC Network
Florida International at UConn · CBSSN
James Madison at Georgia State · ESPN+
Central Michigan at Akron · ESPN+
Eastern Michigan at Buffalo · ESPN+
Miami (OH) at Northern Illinois · ESPN+
Kent State at Oklahoma · SEC Network
Michigan State at Nebraska · FS1
Texas State at Arkansas State · ESPNU
Coastal Carolina at Old Dominion · ESPN+
Texas Tech at Houston · ESPN
UNLV at Wyoming · CBSSN
South Alabama at Troy · ESPN+
Florida Atlantic at Rice · ESPN+
Minnesota at Ohio State · NBC
Miami at Florida State · ABC
Colorado at TCU · FOX
Kansas at UCF · ESPN2
Tulsa at Memphis · ESPNU
Duke at California · ESPN
Nevada at Fresno State · CBSSN
Based on 50,000 season simulations entering week 6, anchored to the AP Top 25 (week 6). How the model works.