#13Notre Dame Fighting Irish
4–2 · 0–0 FBS INDEPENDENTS
In the books
WEEK 8 · 2025
0%
Independent title game
0%
Win the Independent
69%
Make the playoff
7%
First-round bye
avg seed 7.5
The FBS Independents title is out of reach — the playoff path runs through an at-large bid.
How the week went: playoff odds 69% → 59%.
The Saturday rundown
ranked by what moves Notre Dame's pathYour game
…
… · NBC
#20 USC at #13 Notre Dame
Your game. Beat USC and your playoff odds are 75%; lose and they drop to 23%.
Final · USC 24–34 Notre DameWish granted ✓
Just win
Big swingsthese move your odds the most
…
… · Peacock
Michigan State at #3 Indiana
Michigan State winning thins out the at-large competition for your playoff spot.
Final · Michigan State 13–38 IndianaWent the other way ✗
Root for Michigan State+6.4 pp playoff odds
Worth a glancesmaller, but real
…
… · ESPN
#4 Texas A&M at Arkansas
You beat Arkansas — their wins make your résumé stronger.
Final · Texas A&M 45–42 ArkansasWent the other way ✗
Root for Arkansas+2.7 pp playoff odds
…
… · SEC Network
#16 Missouri at Auburn
Auburn winning thins out the at-large competition for your playoff spot.
Final · Missouri 23–17 AuburnWent the other way ✗
Root for Auburn+1.9 pp playoff odds
…
… · BTN
#8 Oregon at Rutgers
Rutgers winning thins out the at-large competition for your playoff spot.
Final · Oregon 56–10 RutgersWent the other way ✗
Root for Rutgers+1.8 pp playoff odds
…
… · ESPN
#21 Texas at Kentucky
Kentucky winning thins out the at-large competition for your playoff spot.
Final · Texas 16–13 KentuckyWent the other way ✗
Root for Kentucky+1.7 pp playoff odds
…
… · SEC Network
#14 Oklahoma at South Carolina
South Carolina winning thins out the at-large competition for your playoff spot.
Final · Oklahoma 26–7 South CarolinaWent the other way ✗
Root for South Carolina+1.4 pp playoff odds
…
… · ACC Network
Pittsburgh at Syracuse
Pittsburgh visits your schedule in week 12 — keep them ranked.
Final · Pittsburgh 30–13 SyracuseWish granted ✓
Root for Pittsburgh+1.2 pp playoff odds
51 more games that don't move your needle
Louisville at Miami · ESPN
Texas Tech at Arizona State · FOX
New Mexico State at Liberty · CBSSN
Arkansas State at South Alabama · ESPN2
Florida International at Western Kentucky · ESPNU
Delaware at Jacksonville State · ESPN2
UTEP at Sam Houston · CBSSN
Tulsa at East Carolina · ESPN
Nebraska at Minnesota · FOX
San José State at Utah State · CBSSN
North Carolina at California · ESPN
LSU at Vanderbilt · ABC
Washington at Michigan · FOX
Georgia Tech at Duke · ESPN
UConn at Boston College · ACC Network
Arizona at Houston · FS1
Baylor at TCU · ESPN2
Army at Tulane · ESPNU
Central Michigan at Bowling Green · CBSSN
Eastern Michigan at Miami (OH) · ESPN+
West Virginia at UCF · TNT
Kent State at Toledo · ESPN+
Buffalo at Massachusetts · ESPN+
Purdue at Northwestern · BTN
Troy at UL Monroe · ESPN+
Ole Miss at Georgia · ABC
Ohio State at Wisconsin · CBS
SMU at Clemson · ACC Network
Wyoming at Air Force · CBSSN
UNLV at Boise State · FS1
Coastal Carolina at App State · ESPN+
Old Dominion at James Madison · ESPNU
Texas State at Marshall · ESPN+
Temple at Charlotte · ESPN+
UTSA at North Texas · ESPN+
Akron at Ball State · ESPN+
Northern Illinois at Ohio · ESPN+
Memphis at UAB · ESPN2
Mississippi State at Florida · SEC Network
Southern Miss at Louisiana · ESPN+
Washington State at Virginia · The CW Network
Penn State at Iowa · Peacock
Maryland at UCLA · FS1
Hawai'i at Colorado State
Georgia State at Georgia Southern · ESPN+
Tennessee at Alabama · ABC
Florida Atlantic at South Florida · ESPNU
Utah at BYU · FOX
Cincinnati at Oklahoma State · ESPN2
Nevada at New Mexico · FS1
Florida State at Stanford · ESPN
Based on 50,000 season simulations entering week 8, anchored to the AP Top 25 (week 8). How the model works.