#24Notre Dame Fighting Irish
0–2 · 0–0 FBS INDEPENDENTS
In the books
WEEK 4 · 2025
0%
Independent title game
0%
Win the Independent
73%
Make the playoff
12%
First-round bye
avg seed 6.8
The FBS Independents title is out of reach — the playoff path runs through an at-large bid.
How the week went: playoff odds 73% → 61%.
The Saturday rundown
ranked by what moves Notre Dame's pathYour game
…
… · NBC
Purdue at #24 Notre Dame
Your game. Beat Purdue and your playoff odds are 73%; lose and they drop to 39%.
Final · Purdue 30–56 Notre DameWish granted ✓
Just win
Worth a glancesmaller, but real
…
… · ESPN+
Sam Houston at #8 Texas
Sam Houston winning thins out the at-large competition for your playoff spot.
Final · Sam Houston 0–55 TexasWent the other way ✗
Root for Sam Houston+2.8 pp playoff odds
…
… · ESPN
Tulane at #13 Ole Miss
Tulane winning thins out the at-large competition for your playoff spot.
Final · Tulane 10–45 Ole MissWent the other way ✗
Root for Tulane+2.4 pp playoff odds
…
… · ACC Network
Kent State at #7 Florida State
You're close to a playoff lock — the live question is the top-4 seed and first-round bye, and Kent State winning protects it.
Final · Kent State 10–66 Florida StateWent the other way ✗
Root for Kent State+2.4 pp first-round-bye odds
46 more games that don't move your needle
Auburn at Oklahoma · ABC
Florida at Miami · ABC
Arkansas at Memphis · ABC
Rice at Charlotte · ESPN
Tulsa at Oklahoma State · ESPN
Iowa at Rutgers · FOX
Maryland at Wisconsin · NBC
Syracuse at Clemson · ESPN
SMU at TCU · ESPN
Bowling Green at Louisville · ACC Network
Texas Tech at Utah · FOX
UNLV at Miami (OH) · ESPNU
North Texas at Army · CBSSN
UAB at Tennessee · SEC Network
Oregon State at Oregon · BTN
Michigan at Nebraska · CBS
North Carolina at UCF · FOX
Ball State at UConn · CBSSN
James Madison at Liberty · ESPNU
Louisiana at Eastern Michigan · ESPN+
Troy at Buffalo · ESPN+
Toledo at Western Michigan · ESPN+
NC State at Duke · ESPN2
Northern Illinois at Mississippi State · SEC Network
Temple at Georgia Tech · The CW Network
West Virginia at Kansas · FS1
Delaware at Florida International · ESPN+
Arkansas State at Kennesaw State · ESPN+
South Carolina at Missouri · ESPN
Marshall at Middle Tennessee · ESPN+
Nevada at Western Kentucky · ESPN+
Boise State at Air Force · CBSSN
Coastal Carolina at South Alabama · ESPN+
Georgia State at Vanderbilt · ESPNU
Washington at Washington State · CBS
Illinois at Indiana · NBC
Stanford at Virginia · ACC Network
Arizona State at Baylor · FOX
BYU at East Carolina · ESPN2
Southern Miss at Louisiana Tech · ESPN+
UL Monroe at UTEP · ESPN+
UTSA at Colorado State · FS1
Wyoming at Colorado · ESPN
California at San Diego State · CBSSN
Michigan State at USC · FOX
Fresno State at Hawai'i
Based on 50,000 season simulations entering week 4, anchored to the AP Top 25 (week 4). How the model works.