#9Notre Dame Fighting Irish
8–2 · 0–0 FBS INDEPENDENTS
In the books
WEEK 13 · 2025
0%
Independent title game
0%
Win the Independent
68%
Make the playoff
3%
First-round bye
avg seed 7.8
The FBS Independents title is out of reach — the playoff path runs through an at-large bid.
How the week went: playoff odds 68% → 67%.
The Saturday rundown
ranked by what moves Notre Dame's pathYour game
…
… · NBC
Syracuse at #9 Notre Dame
Your game. Beat Syracuse and your playoff odds are 68%; lose and they drop to 16%.
Final · Syracuse 7–70 Notre DameWish granted ✓
Just win
Worth a glancesmaller, but real
…
… · ESPN2
Kansas State at #12 Utah
Kansas State winning thins out the at-large competition for your playoff spot.
Final · Kansas State 47–51 UtahWent the other way ✗
Root for Kansas State+4.7 pp playoff odds
…
… · ABC
#22 Missouri at #8 Oklahoma
Missouri winning thins out the at-large competition for your playoff spot.
Final · Missouri 6–17 OklahomaWent the other way ✗
Root for Missouri+4.4 pp playoff odds
…
… · ESPN
#13 Miami at Virginia Tech
Miami losing softens the sting of your loss to them.
Final · Miami 34–17 Virginia TechWent the other way ✗
Root for Virginia Tech+3.7 pp playoff odds
…
… · FOX
#11 BYU at Cincinnati
Cincinnati winning thins out the at-large competition for your playoff spot.
Final · BYU 26–14 CincinnatiWent the other way ✗
Root for Cincinnati+3.4 pp playoff odds
…
… · ESPN
Kentucky at #14 Vanderbilt
Kentucky winning thins out the at-large competition for your playoff spot.
Final · Kentucky 17–45 VanderbiltWent the other way ✗
Root for Kentucky+3.0 pp playoff odds
…
… · ESPN2
Louisville at SMU
Louisville winning thins out the at-large competition for your playoff spot.
Final · Louisville 6–38 SMUWent the other way ✗
Root for Louisville+2.0 pp playoff odds
…
… · BTN
#18 Michigan at Maryland
Maryland winning thins out the at-large competition for your playoff spot.
Final · Michigan 45–20 MarylandWent the other way ✗
Root for Maryland+1.3 pp playoff odds
52 more games that don't move your needle
Pittsburgh at Georgia Tech · ESPN
Akron at Bowling Green · ESPNU
Massachusetts at Ohio · CBSSN
Western Michigan at Northern Illinois · ESPN2
Miami (OH) at Buffalo · ESPN2
Central Michigan at Kent State · ESPNU
Louisiana at Arkansas State · ESPN
Florida State at NC State · ESPN
Hawai'i at UNLV · FS1
Minnesota at Northwestern · BTN
Rutgers at Ohio State · FOX
Delaware at Wake Forest · ACC Network
Kansas at Iowa State · FS1
Tulsa at Army · CBSSN
Charlotte at Georgia · SEC Network
Washington State at James Madison · ESPN+
Baylor at Arizona · TNT
Old Dominion at Georgia Southern · ESPN+
Missouri State at Kennesaw State · ESPN+
Nevada at Wyoming
Ball State at Toledo · ESPN+
Marshall at App State · ESPN+
UConn at Florida Atlantic · ESPN+
Liberty at Louisiana Tech · ESPN+
Sam Houston at Middle Tennessee · ESPN+
New Mexico State at UTEP · ESPN+
South Florida at UAB · ESPN+
Arkansas at Texas · ABC
USC at Oregon · CBS
Michigan State at Iowa · FS1
Duke at North Carolina · ACC Network
Jacksonville State at Florida International · CBSSN
Southern Miss at South Alabama · ESPN+
East Carolina at UTSA · ESPN+
Tulane at Temple · ESPNU
TCU at Houston · FOX
Oklahoma State at UCF · ESPN+
Georgia State at Troy · ESPN+
Coastal Carolina at South Carolina · SEC Network
UL Monroe at Texas State · ESPN+
Nebraska at Penn State · NBC
New Mexico at Air Force · CBSSN
Colorado State at Boise State · FS1
Tennessee at Florida · ABC
Illinois at Wisconsin · BTN
California at Stanford · ACC Network
North Texas at Rice · ESPNU
Western Kentucky at LSU · SEC Network
Arizona State at Colorado · ESPN2
Washington at UCLA · NBC
Utah State at Fresno State · CBSSN
San José State at San Diego State · FS1
Based on 50,000 season simulations entering week 13, anchored to the Playoff Committee Rankings (week 13). How the model works.