#16Notre Dame Fighting Irish
3–2 · 0–0 FBS INDEPENDENTS
In the books
WEEK 7 · 2025
0%
Independent title game
0%
Win the Independent
65%
Make the playoff
6%
First-round bye
avg seed 7.5
The FBS Independents title is out of reach — the playoff path runs through an at-large bid.
How the week went: playoff odds 65% → 69%.
The Saturday rundown
ranked by what moves Notre Dame's pathYour game
…
… · Peacock
NC State at #16 Notre Dame
Your game. Beat NC State and your playoff odds are 65%; lose and they drop to 23%.
Final · NC State 7–36 Notre DameWish granted ✓
Just win
Worth a glancesmaller, but real
…
… · NBC
#15 Michigan at USC
USC visits your schedule in week 8 — keep them ranked.
Final · Michigan 13–31 USCWish granted ✓
Root for USC+3.5 pp playoff odds
…
… · SEC Network
Arkansas at #12 Tennessee
You beat Arkansas — their wins make your résumé stronger.
Final · Arkansas 31–34 TennesseeWent the other way ✗
Root for Arkansas+2.5 pp playoff odds
…
… · ABC
#10 Georgia at Auburn
Auburn winning thins out the at-large competition for your playoff spot.
Final · Georgia 20–10 AuburnWent the other way ✗
Root for Auburn+2.5 pp playoff odds
…
… · ESPN
Florida at #5 Texas A&M
Texas A&M losing softens the sting of your loss to them.
Final · Florida 17–34 Texas A&MWent the other way ✗
Root for Florida+2.1 pp playoff odds
…
… · ESPN2
#18 BYU at Arizona
Arizona winning thins out the at-large competition for your playoff spot.
Final · BYU 33–27 ArizonaWent the other way ✗
Root for Arizona+1.3 pp playoff odds
…
… · ABC
#8 Alabama at #14 Missouri
Missouri winning thins out the at-large competition for your playoff spot.
Final · Alabama 27–24 MissouriWent the other way ✗
Root for Missouri+1.2 pp playoff odds
…
… · ESPN
Pittsburgh at #25 Florida State
Pittsburgh visits your schedule in week 12 — keep them ranked.
Final · Pittsburgh 34–31 Florida StateWish granted ✓
Root for Pittsburgh+1.2 pp playoff odds
48 more games that don't move your needle
Missouri State at Middle Tennessee · ESPN2
Liberty at UTEP · CBSSN
Louisiana Tech at Kennesaw State · ESPNU
East Carolina at Tulane · ESPN
Jacksonville State at Sam Houston · CBSSN
Southern Miss at Georgia Southern · ESPN2
South Florida at North Texas · ESPN2
Rutgers at Washington · FS1
Fresno State at Colorado State · CBSSN
UCLA at Michigan State · BTN
Ohio State at Illinois · FOX
Stanford at SMU · The CW Network
UCF at Cincinnati · FS1
Houston at Oklahoma State · TNT
Louisiana at James Madison · ESPN2
Charlotte at Army · CBSSN
Miami (OH) at Akron · ESPN+
Toledo at Bowling Green · ESPNU
Washington State at Ole Miss · SEC Network
Northern Illinois at Eastern Michigan · ESPN+
Massachusetts at Kent State · ESPN+
Oklahoma at Texas · ABC
Northwestern at Penn State · FS1
Nebraska at Maryland · BTN
Indiana at Oregon · CBS
Virginia Tech at Georgia Tech · ACC Network
Wake Forest at Oregon State · The CW Network
Iowa State at Colorado · ESPN
TCU at Kansas State · FOX
Air Force at UNLV · CBSSN
App State at Georgia State · ESPN+
Old Dominion at Marshall · ESPN+
Ball State at Western Michigan · ESPN+
Navy at Temple · ESPN2
UAB at Florida Atlantic · ESPN+
Iowa at Wisconsin · FS1
San José State at Wyoming · CBSSN
UL Monroe at Coastal Carolina · ESPN+
Purdue at Minnesota · BTN
Clemson at Boston College · ACC Network
Kansas at Texas Tech · FOX
Rice at UTSA · ESPNU
South Carolina at LSU · SEC Network
Troy at Texas State · ESPN+
New Mexico at Boise State · FS1
Arizona State at Utah · ESPN
San Diego State at Nevada · CBSSN
Utah State at Hawai'i
Based on 50,000 season simulations entering week 7, anchored to the AP Top 25 (week 7). How the model works.