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#12Notre Dame Fighting Irish

5–2 · 0–0 FBS INDEPENDENTS
In the books
WEEK 9 · 2025
0%
Independent title game
0%
Win the Independent
59%
Make the playoff
3%
First-round bye
avg seed 8.0
The FBS Independents title is out of reach — the playoff path runs through an at-large bid.
How the week went: playoff odds 59% → 71%.
Playoff odds by week
123456789

If Notre Dame wins out: 0% to win the Independent, 65% to make the playoff.

The Saturday rundown

ranked by what moves Notre Dame's path
Worth a glancesmaller, but real
…
… · ESPN
Syracuse at #7 Georgia Tech

Syracuse visits your schedule in week 13 — keep them ranked.

Final · Syracuse 16–41 Georgia TechWent the other way ✗
Root for Syracuse+2.4 pp playoff odds
…
… · SEC Network
#22 Texas at Mississippi State

Mississippi State winning thins out the at-large competition for your playoff spot.

Final · Texas 45–38 Mississippi StateWent the other way ✗
Root for Mississippi State+2.2 pp playoff odds
…
… · ABC
#3 Texas A&M at #20 LSU

Texas A&M losing softens the sting of your loss to them.

Final · Texas A&M 49–25 LSUWent the other way ✗
Root for LSU+1.6 pp playoff odds
…
… · ESPN+
UConn at Rice

UConn winning thins out the at-large competition for your playoff spot.

Final · UConn 34–37 RiceWent the other way ✗
Root for UConn+1.6 pp playoff odds
…
… · SEC Network
#17 Tennessee at Kentucky

Kentucky winning thins out the at-large competition for your playoff spot.

Final · Tennessee 56–34 KentuckyWent the other way ✗
Root for Kentucky+1.5 pp playoff odds
…
… · ESPN+
Louisiana at Troy

Louisiana winning thins out the at-large competition for your playoff spot.

Final · Louisiana 23–35 TroyWent the other way ✗
Root for Louisiana+1.4 pp playoff odds
…
… · ACC Network
#16 Virginia at North Carolina

North Carolina winning thins out the at-large competition for your playoff spot.

Final · Virginia 17–16 North CarolinaWent the other way ✗
Root for North Carolina+1.3 pp playoff odds
…
…
Utah State at New Mexico

New Mexico winning thins out the at-large competition for your playoff spot.

Final · Utah State 14–33 New MexicoWish granted ✓
Root for New Mexico+1.3 pp playoff odds
…
… · FOX
#11 BYU at Iowa State

Iowa State winning thins out the at-large competition for your playoff spot.

Final · BYU 41–27 Iowa StateWent the other way ✗
Root for Iowa State+1.3 pp playoff odds
44 more games that don't move your needle
UCLA at Indiana · FOX
Kennesaw State at Florida International · ESPNU
Western Kentucky at Louisiana Tech · CBSSN
Middle Tennessee at Delaware · ESPN2
Missouri State at New Mexico State · CBSSN
South Alabama at Georgia State · ESPN2
North Texas at Charlotte · ESPN2
California at Virginia Tech · ESPN
Boise State at Nevada · CBSSN
Ole Miss at Oklahoma · ABC
Northwestern at Nebraska · FS1
Rutgers at Purdue · BTN
SMU at Wake Forest · The CW Network
Kansas State at Kansas · TNT
App State at Old Dominion · ESPNU
South Florida at Memphis · ESPN2
Bowling Green at Kent State · ESPN+
Ohio at Eastern Michigan · CBSSN
Auburn at Arkansas · SEC Network
Akron at Buffalo · ESPN+
Alabama at South Carolina · ABC
Missouri at Vanderbilt · ESPN
Illinois at Washington · BTN
Minnesota at Iowa · CBS
Toledo at Washington State · The CW Network
NC State at Pittsburgh · ACC Network
San Diego State at Fresno State · FS1
UL Monroe at Southern Miss · ESPN+
Florida Atlantic at Navy · CBSSN
Temple at Tulsa · ESPN+
Ball State at Northern Illinois · ESPN+
Massachusetts at Central Michigan · ESPN+
Western Michigan at Miami (OH) · ESPN+
Baylor at Cincinnati · ESPN2
Oklahoma State at Texas Tech · ESPNU
TCU at West Virginia · ESPN+
Wisconsin at Oregon · FS1
Stanford at Miami · ESPN
Georgia Southern at Arkansas State · ESPN+
Michigan at Michigan State · NBC
Boston College at Louisville · ACC Network
Colorado State at Wyoming · CBSSN
Houston at Arizona State · ESPN2
Colorado at Utah · ESPN

Based on 50,000 season simulations entering week 9, anchored to the AP Top 25 (week 9). How the model works.