#8Notre Dame Fighting Irish
0–1 · 0–0 FBS INDEPENDENTS
In the books
WEEK 3 · 2025
0%
Independent title game
0%
Win the Independent
97%
Make the playoff
65%
First-round bye
avg seed 4.0
The FBS Independents title is out of reach — the playoff path runs through an at-large bid.
How the week went: playoff odds 97% → 73%.
The Saturday rundown
ranked by what moves Notre Dame's pathYour game
…
… · NBC
#16 Texas A&M at #8 Notre Dame
Your game. Beat Texas A&M and your playoff odds are 98%; lose and they drop to 90%.
Final · Texas A&M 41–40 Notre DameWent the other way ✗
Just win
Worth a glancesmaller, but real
…
… · FOX
#4 Oregon at Northwestern
You're close to a playoff lock — the live question is the top-4 seed and first-round bye, and Northwestern winning protects it.
Final · Oregon 34–14 NorthwesternWent the other way ✗
Root for Northwestern+4.2 pp first-round-bye odds
…
… · Peacock
Ohio at #1 Ohio State
You're close to a playoff lock — the live question is the top-4 seed and first-round bye, and Ohio winning protects it.
Final · Ohio 9–37 Ohio StateWent the other way ✗
Root for Ohio+3.1 pp first-round-bye odds
…
… · ABC
#6 Georgia at #15 Tennessee
You're close to a playoff lock — the live question is the top-4 seed and first-round bye, and Tennessee winning protects it.
Final · Georgia 44–41 TennesseeWent the other way ✗
Root for Tennessee+2.9 pp first-round-bye odds
…
… · ESPN
Arkansas at #17 Ole Miss
You're close to a playoff lock — the live question is the top-4 seed and first-round bye, and Arkansas winning protects it; Arkansas visits your schedule in week 5 — keep them ranked.
Final · Arkansas 35–41 Ole MissWent the other way ✗
Root for Arkansas+2.2 pp first-round-bye odds
42 more games that don't move your needle
South Florida at Miami · The CW Network
NC State at Wake Forest · ESPN
Colorado at Houston · ESPN
Kansas State at Arizona · FOX
New Mexico at UCLA · BTN
Wisconsin at Alabama · ABC
Oklahoma at Temple · ESPN2
Central Michigan at Michigan · BTN
Clemson at Georgia Tech · ESPN
Memphis at Troy · ESPNU
Buffalo at Kent State · CBSSN
South Alabama at Auburn · SEC Network
Louisiana at Missouri · ESPN+
UConn at Delaware · ESPN+
USC at Purdue · CBS
Oregon State at Texas Tech · FOX
Washington State at North Texas · ESPNU
SMU at Missouri State · CBSSN
Pittsburgh at West Virginia · ESPN
Iowa State at Arkansas State · ESPN2
UTEP at Texas · SEC Network
Liberty at Bowling Green · ESPN+
Middle Tennessee at Nevada
Florida Atlantic at Florida International · ESPN+
Western Michigan at Illinois · FS1
Old Dominion at Virginia Tech · ACC Network
Jacksonville State at Georgia Southern · ESPN+
App State at Southern Miss · ESPN+
Eastern Michigan at Kentucky · ESPNU
Florida at LSU · ABC
Massachusetts at Iowa · BTN
New Mexico State at Louisiana Tech · ESPN+
East Carolina at Coastal Carolina · ESPN+
Vanderbilt at South Carolina · SEC Network
Duke at Tulane · ESPN2
Utah at Wyoming · CBSSN
Navy at Tulsa · ESPN+
Akron at UAB · ESPN+
Air Force at Utah State · FS1
Minnesota at California · ESPN
Boston College at Stanford · ACC Network
Texas State at Arizona State · TNT
Based on 50,000 season simulations entering week 3, anchored to the AP Top 25 (week 3). How the model works.